Με αναλυτική επιστολή (γραμμένη
στα Αγγλικά) 54 σελίδων (όσα είναι και τα τραπουλόχαρτα) ο τ. υπουργός
Οικονομικών Γιάννης Βαρουφάκης κάνει σκόνη ή φύλλο και φτερό (λόγω των
τραπουλόχαρτων) το 3ο Μνημόνιο, καταδεικνύοντας ουσιαστικά το
έγκλημα των Τσίπρα-Καμμένοιυ και όσων ψήφισαν-φόρτωσαν το χειρότερο μνημόνιο στον
λαό και τη χώρα!
Διαβάστε την επιστολή.
Greece
Memorandum of Understanding for a three-year ESM programme 1. Outlook and strategy
Greece
has requested support from its European partners, to restore sustainable
growth, create jobs, reduce inequalities, and address the risks to its own
financial stability and to that of the euro area. This Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) has
been prepared in response to a request of 8 July 2015 from the Hellenic Republic to the Chairperson
of the Board of Governors of the European Stability Mechanism (ESM) for
stability support in the form of a loan with an availability period of three
years. In accordance with Article 13(3) of the ESM Treaty, it details the
conditionality attached to the financial assistance facility covering the
period 2015-18. [Of course the real 'story' is that this MoU was prepared to
reflect the Greek government's humiliating capitulation of 12th
July, under threat of Grexit put to PM Tsipras by the EuroSummit. See here
for the annotated text of that "Agreement"] The conditionality will
be updated on a quarterly basis... [i.e. the Greek government will be constantly
engaged in the troika process, starting a new 'review' just as the previous one
ends]...taking into account the progress in reforms achieved over the previous
quarter. In each review the specific policy measures and other instruments to
achieve these broad objectives outlined here will be fully specified in detail
and timeline.
Success
requires ownership of the reform agenda programme by the Greek authorities. The Government therefore stands ready to take
any measures that may become appropriate for this purpose as circumstances
change. The Government commits to consult and agree with the European
Commission, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund on
all actions relevant for the achievement of the objectives of the Memorandum of
Understanding before these are finalized and legally adopted. [This is
astonishing: A government commits to agreeing with the troika, even if it does
not agree! Of course the opposite does not apply: the troika does not commit to
"consulting and agreeing with the Greek government". Note too that
the troika considers all legislation to be subject to its approval, including
laws on higher education etc. Greek sovereignty is being forfeited
wholesale."
The
recovery strategy takes into account the need for social justice and fairness,
both across and within generations. Fiscal constraints have imposed hard choices, and it is therefore
important that the burden of adjustment is borne by all parts of society and
taking into account the ability to pay. Priority has been placed on actions to
tackle tax evasion [as long as it is not committed by the oligarchs in full
support of the troika through their multifarious activities, including the
bankrupt media that they full own], fraud and strategic defaulters, as these
impose a burden on the honest citizens and companies who pay their taxes and
loans on time. Product market reforms seek to eliminate the rents accruing to
vested interest groups [as long as they are not the large scale rent seekers,
who are to be fully protected and, indeed, assisted through the creation of
conditions encouraging greater market concentration and large chain stores;
e.g. the legislation that targets family owned pharmacies, granting licences to
non-pharmacists to bring multinationals like CVS and Boots into the market]:
through higher prices, these undermine the disposable income of consumers and
harm the competitiveness of companies. Pension reforms have focussed on
measures to remove exemptions and end early-retirement. To get people back to
work and prevent the entrenching of long-term unemployment, the authorities,
working closely with European partners, will initiate measures to boost
employment by 50.000 people targeting the long-term unemployed [to
be achieved, given the non-provision of additional resources, through some
magic formula not mentioned here]. A fairer society will require that Greece
improves the design of its welfare system, so that there is a genuine social
safety net which targets scarce resources at those who need it most [to be
achieved without a single new euro again by some magic formula yet to be
invented]. The authorities plan to benefit from available technical assistance
from international organisations on measures to provide access to health care
for all (including the uninsured) [i.e. using advice of well paid foreign
"technocrats" as a substitute for funding, nurses, doctors and
equipment] and to roll out a basic social safety net in the form of a
Guaranteed Minimum Income (GMI) [which would be great, except that not one
fresh euro will be made available for the GMI program whose funding will be
siphoned off existing benefits provided by the Greek state, e.g. child
benefit].
Implementation of the reform agenda will
provide the basis for a sustainable recovery, and the policies are built around
four pillars:
• Restoring fiscal
sustainability (section 2): Greece will target
a medium-term primary surplus of 3.5% of GDP to be
achieved through a combination of upfront parametric fiscal reforms, including
to
its VAT and pension system, supported by an ambitious programme to strengthen
tax compliance and public financial management, and fight tax evasion, while
ensuring adequate protection of vulnerable groups. [In other words, even
greater austerity than before awaits the social economy with the greatest
recession due to the harshest austerity - guaranteeing that no sane investor will
invest in productive capacity since, according to this MoU, the recession will
end, at the earliest, in 2017 and then, in the following year, the brakes
will be slammed on as the government hikes taxes and reducing spending further
to attain the unattainable 3.5% primary surplus.]
• Safeguarding financial stability (section 3): Greece will immediately take steps to tackle
Non-Performing Loans (NPLs). A recapitalisation process of banks should be
completed before the end of 2015, which will be accompanied by concomitant
measures to strengthen the governance of the Hellenic Financial Stability Fund
(HFSF) and of banks. [Banks were already recapitalised in 2013
but failed to provide
credit because no bad bank was instituted to manage the mountainous NPLs -
incredibly the same failure is being designed into this new MoU. Another large
sum for the banks but no bad bank plan for dealing with the NPLs.]
• Growth, competitiveness and investment
(section 4): Greece will design and implement a wide range
of reforms in labour markets and product markets (including energy) that not
only ensure full compliance with EU requirements, but which also aim at
achieving European best practices. [French or Latvian "best
practices"?] There will be an ambitious privatisation programme, and
policies which support investment. [Even the IMF, in its Economic Outlook Spring 2015,
see Chapter 3, disputes that privatisations support
investment and growth.]
• A modern State and public administration
(section 5) shall be a key priority of the programme.
Particular attention will be paid to increasing the efficiency of the public
sector in the delivery of essential public goods and services. Measures will be
taken to enhance the efficiency of the judicial system and to upgrade the fight
against corruption. Reforms will strengthen the institutional and operational
independence of key institutions such as revenue administration and the
statistics institute (ELSTAT). [Independence
3
of
the tax administration and the statistical office from political interference
was also our government's policy. Except that we were equally keen to ensure
the tax authorities' independence from corporate interests and ELSTAT's
independence from the troika. And we proposed to do this by placing both
independent authorities under the purview of Parliament. This MoU foreshadows
that Parliament will have a cosmetic role - that the real bosses of tax administrators
and ELSTAT are the Euro Working Group, i.e. the troika, Eurostat, and the local
vested interests who are mostly responsible behind corruption and rent
seeking.]
Success
will require the sustained implementation of agreed policies over many years. [i.e. the Greek Parliament's sovereignty is
rescinded while it remains insolvent, which will be a long, long time as long
as the Eurogroup refuses to discuss serious debt relief.] To this end,
political commitment is needed, but so is the technical capacity of the Greek
administration to deliver. The authorities have committed to make full use of
the available technical assistance, which on the European side is coordinated
by the new Structural Reform Support Service (SRSS) of the European Commission.
Technical assistance is already in place for some key reform commitments,
including on tax policy, the reform of the tax administration, the Social
Welfare Review, and the modernisation of the judicial system. The authorities
are committed to quickly scale up pre-existing technical assistance projects to
support reforms such as OECD competition assessment, World Bank investment
licensing, health care, revision of the income tax, autonomy of the tax
authority, Social Security and tax debt cross-checking and collection and
reform of the public administration. There is also scope to develop technical
assistance projects in areas such as energy policy, labour market policies
including tackling undeclared work and codification of the Greek statute book.
The Greek authorities will by end-September 2015
finalise a medium-term technical
assistance plan with the European Commission. [The same technical assistance
that was standing by in Athens during the period when GDP collapsed by 27%,
unemployment rose to 29%
and net investment
collapsed to negative numbers. Will they do better this time around? Not if
they insist that their previous practices were appropriate.]
Greece
needs to build upon the agreed recovery strategy and develop a genuine growth
strategy which is Greek-owned and Greek-led [i.e. led by a government that most certainly
does not believe that anything resembling a growth strategy is part of this
MoU] This should take into account the reforms included in this MoU, relevant
European Union initiatives, the Partnership Agreement of the implementation of
NSRF and other best practices. Greece must benefit fully from the substantial
means available from the EU budget and the EIB to support investment and reform
efforts. For the period 2007-2013, Greece was eligible for EUR 38 billion in grants from EU policies, and
should benefit from the currently remaining amounts under this envelope. For
the 2015-2020 period, more than EUR 35 billion is available to Greece through
EU funds. [Which means that the advertised increase in investment funding by 35
billion equates, in reality, to a reduction from 38 billion in the previous 5
year period to 35 billion in the following 5 year period.] To maximise
absorption, the European Commission's Investment Plan for Europe will provide
an additional source of investment as well as technical help for public and
private investors to identify, promote and develop high-quality and feasible
projects to fund. [These funds should be taken into account in the quarterly
reviews, and failure of the European Commission to dispense them should trigger
a proportionate revision of the assessment. Here's me dreaming again. ] The
Greek authorities may request technical assistance to further develop the
growth strategy, which inter
alia could aim
at creating a more attractive business environment, improving the education
system as well as human capital formation through vocational education and
training, developing R&D and innovation. It could also help design
sectorial priorities in areas such as tourism, transport and logistics, and
agriculture. The authorities aim to finalise the growth strategy by March 2016
in collaboration with
social partners, academics and international organisations. The strategy should
also address the need for coordination of the ambitious reform agenda,
reinforcing the existing Secretariat General for Coordination and involving as
appropriate organisations representing the private sector. [Another
Secretariat! How refreshing to see that the solution to the problems of
governance is that we need another layer of bureaucrats. ]
2. Delivering
sustainable public finances that support growth and
jobs
The
correction of extreme imbalances in public finances in recent years has
required an unprecedented adjustment and sacrifices from Greece and its
citizens. Public deficits have fallen considerably compared to the pre-crisis
period, although Greece is facing a primary deficit of about 1.5 percent of GDP
in 2015, absent additional measures. [A deficit that is entirely due to the
troika's policy of asphyxiating our government, even before we were elected, by
means of a politically engineered bank run (that was ignited by the Bank of
Greece, the previous government and accelerated by the ECB's constant threats
to cut off the banks' access first to ECB liquidity and then to ELA) and, soon
after, by restrictions in the state's capacity to roll over its existing
T-Bills. Lest we forget, our SYRIZA government did not raise one new tax or
introduce anything but trivial new expenditures to the budget. The insinuation
that everything was going swimmingly with the Greek economy until the SYRIZA
government messed things up is the worst kind of 'victors' history' that blames
the victim for its fate.] The consolidation has also relied on a dramatic
scaling back of public investment and services, which will need to be
progressively normalized and further prioritised in order to sustain the growth
potential. [Naturally: Before January 2015, investment in productive activity, as opposed
to speculative investment, was virtually non-existent. Once the troika threatened
us with bank closures from day 1, even speculative investment dried up. It
would indeed take remarkable... patriotism on the part of businesses to invest
in a country threatened by its creditors with suffocation unless it accepted a
non-viable program that fuels further a 6 year old debt-deflationary cycle.]
2.1 Fiscal policy
The
Greek authorities commit to ensuring sustainable public finances and achieve
sizeable and sustainable primary surpluses over the medium-term that will
reduce the debt to output ratio steadily. The authorities will accordingly
pursue a new fiscal path premised on a primary surplus targets of -%,
0.5, 1%, and
3.5 percent
of GDP in 2015, 2016, 2017 and 2018 and beyond, respectively. The trajectory of
the fiscal targets is consistent with expected growth rates of the Greek
economy as it recovers from its deepest recorded recession. [Sure, the
debt/primary surplus trajectory is consistent with "expected growth rates"
if one is prepared to make the spectacular mistake (that the troika has been
making since 2010) of assuming that growth rates are exogenous and independent
of the medium term primary surplus targets! Naturally, the moment we
acknowledge that the very announcement of a crazy 3.5%
primary surplus for 2018
reduces investment in 2016-
as investors anticipate a new dose of hard austerity 18 months later - the
debt/primary surplus trajectory becomes ridiculously inconsistent with
"expected growth rates". And so the extend-and-pretend of the Greek
program lives on to yield fresh crisis summits and to damage another
generation. ]
The
government has recently adopted a reform of VAT and a first phase of the reform
of the pension systems; raised the corporate tax rate; extended the
implementation of the luxury tax; taken measures to increase the advance
corporate income tax in 2015 and require 100 percent advance payments gradually
for partnerships etc. and individual business income tax by 2017;
and raised the solidarity
surcharge. [Quite astounding how these tax increases, in the context of a
broken economy, are presented as a good thing. Ultimate proof that the troika
are not even neoliberals, since neoliberals would argue for a reduction in
corporate taxes and VAT to stimulate economic activity and increase the tax
take!]
Furthermore,
as a prior action the Government will adopt legislation to:
• raise revenues: a) gradually abolish the refund of excise tax
on diesel oil for farmers in two equal steps in October 2015
and October 2016
[i.e. do untold damage to
the primary sector which had a chance of becoming an engine of growth through
proper marketing of the Mediterranean diet, niche organics etc.]; b) increase
the tonnage tax [i.e. ensuring that most Greek shipping shifts to nearby
Cyrpus]. The authorities will take actions to launch the 2015 ENFIA exercise in
order to issue bills in October 2015 with the final instalment due in February
2016 [i.e. perpetuating an indefensible property tax that falls on everyone
independently of their income in a country were 2 million unemployed or
inactive people still own some small property. The perpetuation of ENFIA, and
the glee with which the troika sees the issuance of bills in October, will most
certainly turn the population against this MoU and make its implementation
impossible.] They will also correct issues with the revenue measures recently
implemented.
• target and contain expenditure: a) effective immediately, (i) reestablish
full INN prescription; (ii) reduce the price of all off-patent drugs; b) launch
the comprehensive social welfare review (see section
2.5.3).
• The
package will include further measures with budgetary impact, such as public
administration reforms, reforms addressing shortfalls in tax collection
enforcement, and other parametric measures, recalled in other parts of this
document. [Not since the Soviet Union has wishful thinking, unsupported by
anything tangible, posed as policy making.]
To
demonstrate its commitment to credible fiscal policies, the Government will
adopt (Key deliverable) in October 2015,
a supplementary 2015
budget as needed, the draft
2016 budget
and a 2016-19 Medium-Term Fiscal Strategy, supported by a sizable and credible package
of parametric measures [meaning direct benefit/pension cuts and tax rates
increases] and structural fiscal reforms [i.e. permanent cuts in social welfare],
including: a) a second-phase of pension reforms [i.e. cuts to existing
pensions, as opposed to mere restrictions in early retirements], see section 2.5.1;
b) a reform of the income
tax code, see section 2.2.2; c) phasing out the preferential tax treatment of
farmers in the income tax code, with rates set at 20% in the 2016
exercise and 26%
in the 2017
exercise [adding to the
pain of the diesel oil tax rate and creating new vistas of glory for tax
evasion in Greece's countryside]. Meanwhile a strategy for agriculture is being
developed; d) a tax on television advertisements [a rare glimmer of light in
this MoU, as long as it is implemented]; e) the announcement of an
international public tender for the acquisition of television licenses and
usage related fees of relevant frequencies; f) the extension of Gross Gaming
Revenues (GGR) taxation of 30% on VLT games expected to be installed at
second half of 2015 and 2016 [a fair tax rate, except that the opening of 16 thousand e'gambling
parlours in the villages, towns and suburbs of Greece, peddling false hope to a
hopeless population, with the carrot of additional taxes-on-hopeless-hope
dangled in front of law makers, is another sad development]; g) an increase of
the tax rate on income for rents for annual incomes below €12,000
to 15%
(from 11%)
and for annual incomes
above €12,000 to 35% (from 33%) [i.e. a measure that further encourages landlords to offer leases on
which a fraction of the actual rent is specified, the rest being paid under the
table - thus, tax evasion gets another pat on the back.]; h) phasing out special
tax treatments of the shipping industry; i) extend the temporary voluntary
contribution to 2018; j) reduce permanently the expenditure ceiling for military spending by €100
million in 2015
and by €400
million in 2016
with a targeted set of
actions, including a reduction in headcount and procurement [Defence
expenditure reductions are fine with me. This is a wonderful opportunity for
Greek government to push its EU partners into participating in the cost of
defending Greece's borders, since the latter are also the EU's borders.]; k)
better target eligibility to halve heating oil subsidies expenditure in the
budget 2016 [that is, let more families freeze in the coming winter].
In
addition to the measures above, the authorities commit to legislate in October 2015
credible structural
measures yielding at least %% of GDP coming into effect in 2017
and %% of GDP coming into effect in 2018
to support the achievement
of the medium term primary balance target of 3.5% of GDP. [A target that can
never be achieved without crushing that is left of the Greek economy; a target
that the troika itself does not expect to be achieved but which it inserts in
this MoU only because it is its policy that Italy and France be coerced into
accepting a 3.5% target for 2018 - a reminder that this MoU is written with the
broader struggle for Europe in mind.] The authorities commit to take further
structural measures in October 2016, if needed to secure the 2017 and 2018
targets. These would include containing defence expenditure, the planned PIT
reform and freezing statutory spending.
Parametric
fiscal measures will be bolstered by a wide range of administrative actions to
address shortfalls in tax collection and enforcement: these measures will take
some time to bear fruit but could offer significant upside fiscal yield going
forward. [This is an ominous paragraph. It proclaims that the more this program
fails to deliver on growth, the more "parametric measures" - i.e. austerity - will be applied. It is a brief manifesto in
favour of the austerian road to Greece's ruin, or to Europe's change of mind.
Whichever comes first.]
The
Greek government will monitor fiscal risks, including court rulings, and will
take offsetting measures as needed to meet the fiscal targets. [i.e. when the
courts rule out some pension cut or tax hike, the government commits to
stepping in to ensure that the rule of law is subverted so that the troika's
will is not.] The authorities intend to transfer at least 30 percent of any over-performance to the
segregated account earmarked for debt reduction. [i.e. if the government does
better than expected in revenue collection, it will not be able to use it to
lessen the suffering of the worst hit - it must, instead, give a large chunk of
this money to the creditors.]
2.2 Tax policy reforms
The
Government commits to enact reforms of both direct and indirect taxation to
improve efficiency, collectability and boost labour supply.
In
July 2015 the Government has already legislated a major reform of VAT aiming at
simplifying the VAT structure [i.e. denying Aegean islanders a discount on VAT
which was previously enshrined in the constitution in recognition of the great
difficulties, especially in winter, of living and working on islands with
intermittent transport - especially in winter], broadening the tax base and
eliminating and streamlining exemptions, generating around 1% of GDP in annual revenues [i.e. squeezing
another large chunk from the Greek economy in the form of indirect taxes, jeopardising
in the process any prospect of a new social contract between the state and its
citizens - most of whom would like to tax evade less if the tax rates were
reasonable].
The government commits to further reforms as
follows:
i. As a prior action, the
authorities will: a) eliminate the cross-border
withholding tax introduced by the instalments act (law 4321/2015)
and reverse the recent amendments to the ITC introduced in laws
(4328/2015, 4330/2015 and 4331/2015); [The relevant article of this
Law, 4321/2015, whose purpose was to limit and discourage transfer
pricing that exploits the low tax rates of Cyprus and Bulgaria, must
be amended; not just abolished. This type of transfer pricing goes on
and robs the Greek state of substantial taxes. Putting nothing in its
place is a dereliction of duty by the Greek state and another example
of the troika's disregard for genuine tax evasion fighting measures.]
b) clarify that the VAT island discounts will be fully eliminated by end-
2016 and define the transitional arrangements [The determination
with which the troika persecutes Aegean islanders, demanding that
their VAT discount is removed, is impressing. Especially given that
this type of discount applies fully in every remote island grouping in
the European Union; e.g. the Canaries, several islands in the Baltics,
withholding tax introduced by the instalments act (law 4321/2015)
and reverse the recent amendments to the ITC introduced in laws
(4328/2015, 4330/2015 and 4331/2015); [The relevant article of this
Law, 4321/2015, whose purpose was to limit and discourage transfer
pricing that exploits the low tax rates of Cyprus and Bulgaria, must
be amended; not just abolished. This type of transfer pricing goes on
and robs the Greek state of substantial taxes. Putting nothing in its
place is a dereliction of duty by the Greek state and another example
of the troika's disregard for genuine tax evasion fighting measures.]
b) clarify that the VAT island discounts will be fully eliminated by end-
2016 and define the transitional arrangements [The determination
with which the troika persecutes Aegean islanders, demanding that
their VAT discount is removed, is impressing. Especially given that
this type of discount applies fully in every remote island grouping in
the European Union; e.g. the Canaries, several islands in the Baltics,
etc.]
ii. Tax Codes. By September 2015
adopt outstanding reforms
on the
tax procedures codes: a) introduce a new Criminal Law on Tax
Evasion and Fraud to amend the Special Penal Law 2523/1997 and
any other relevant legislation, and replace Article 55, paragraphs 1
and 2, of the TPC, with a view, inter alia, to modernize and broaden
the definition of tax fraud and evasion to all taxes; abolish all Code of
Book and Records fines, including those levied under law 2523/1997;
b) issue a circular on fines to ensure the comprehensive and
consistent application of the TPC; c) ensure appropriate single-
violation penalties for breach of the accounting code; non-issuance
or incorrect issuance of retail receipts will be treated as a single but
serious procedural violation for VAT, (key deliverable). By February
2016, the authorities will conduct a comprehensive review of
remaining tax legislation that is in conflict with the ITC and TPC,
integrating these acts where appropriate, and by March 2016 issue
all secondary legislation to implement the ITC and TPC.
tax procedures codes: a) introduce a new Criminal Law on Tax
Evasion and Fraud to amend the Special Penal Law 2523/1997 and
any other relevant legislation, and replace Article 55, paragraphs 1
and 2, of the TPC, with a view, inter alia, to modernize and broaden
the definition of tax fraud and evasion to all taxes; abolish all Code of
Book and Records fines, including those levied under law 2523/1997;
b) issue a circular on fines to ensure the comprehensive and
consistent application of the TPC; c) ensure appropriate single-
violation penalties for breach of the accounting code; non-issuance
or incorrect issuance of retail receipts will be treated as a single but
serious procedural violation for VAT, (key deliverable). By February
2016, the authorities will conduct a comprehensive review of
remaining tax legislation that is in conflict with the ITC and TPC,
integrating these acts where appropriate, and by March 2016 issue
all secondary legislation to implement the ITC and TPC.
iii. Income tax. By October 2015,
the Government will: a)
simplify the
personal income tax credit schedule [i.e. ensure that the poor pay
more and the rich get tax relief]; b) re-design and integrate into the
ITC the solidarity surcharge for income as of 2016 to more effectively
personal income tax credit schedule [i.e. ensure that the poor pay
more and the rich get tax relief]; b) re-design and integrate into the
ITC the solidarity surcharge for income as of 2016 to more effectively
achieve
progressivity in the income tax system [i.e. convert a temporary addition to
income tax into a permanent one]; c) identify all business income tax
incentives and integrate the tax exemptions into the ITC, eliminating those
deemed inefficient or inequitable; d) undertake a review and reform of the
KEDE, including revenue administration procedures for enforced sale of assets
at public auctions; e) ensure the revenue administration's adequate access to
taxpayers' premises for conducting timely audits and enforcement purposes; f)
review the framework of capital taxation and develop the tax framework for
collective investment vehicles and their participants consistently with the ITC
and in line with best practices in the EU; g) review the withholding tax on
technical services; h) In view of any revision of the zonal property values,
adjust the property tax rates if necessary to safeguard the 2016 property tax
revenues at least €2.65 billion [i.e. make sure that properties which lost much of their value
due to the recession are still taxed as a percentage of the old, defunct value
- a clear directive to pursue unfair tax policies!] and adjust the alternative
minimum personal income taxation; i) review the operation of the alternative
minimum tax (including correcting any backtracking); j) close possibilities for
income tax avoidance; k) tighten the definition of farmers [i.e. exclude many
new farmers from a definition that would give them a degree of the subsidies
necessary to become established]. (key deliverable)
iv. VAT.
The authorities will by
March 2016, a) codify and simplify the
VAT legislation, aligning it with the tax procedure code, eliminating
outstanding loopholes and shortening the VAT payment period; b)
simplify the income tax regime and ensure consistency of the income
base for income tax and social security contributions of small
businesses below the VAT registration threshold; c) modernise the
corporate tax law in ITC covering mergers and acquisitions and
corporate reserve accounts and implement ITC provisions
concerning cross-border transactions and transfer pricing. (key
deliverable)
VAT legislation, aligning it with the tax procedure code, eliminating
outstanding loopholes and shortening the VAT payment period; b)
simplify the income tax regime and ensure consistency of the income
base for income tax and social security contributions of small
businesses below the VAT registration threshold; c) modernise the
corporate tax law in ITC covering mergers and acquisitions and
corporate reserve accounts and implement ITC provisions
concerning cross-border transactions and transfer pricing. (key
deliverable)
v. Property
tax. The authorities will
by September 2016 align all
property assessment values with market prices with effect from
January 2017. [Exactly how will they do this when in many areas of
Greece there are no property markets, in the sense that almost no
sales are recorded due to the recession. How does one price a
house for which there is no market?]
property assessment values with market prices with effect from
January 2017. [Exactly how will they do this when in many areas of
Greece there are no property markets, in the sense that almost no
sales are recorded due to the recession. How does one price a
house for which there is no market?]
11
vi.
By that date, cross-checking of all ownership interests against the information
on all individual properties in the cadastre. (key deliverable)
2.3. Revenue administration reforms
The
ability to collect revenues has been hampered by a long history of complicated
legislation, poor administration, political interference and generous
amnesties, with chronically weak enforcement. To break from this practice and
improve the tax and social security payment culture, the government firmly
commits to take strong action to improve collection and to not introduce new
instalment or other amnesty or settlement schemes nor extend existing schemes.
[This is a reference to our 100-instalments scheme which proved successful in
an economy where 3.5 million taxpayers owed the state less than 3000 euros each
but could not pay, the result being that they were in-formalised courtesy of
frozen tax file numbers. By giving them the opportunity to pay in many
instalments, we gave them back their dignity. The troika was furious, arguing
that we were "destroying the payment culture". Our argument was that
there can be no restoration of a payments culture when millions of Greek
families were unable to pay small sums of money to the state in order to return
to the formal sector. With the troika screaming blue murder, we legislated the
100-instalments legislation clarifying that it was a one-off and giving a 2%
discount to taxpayers who had never been in arrears, as a reward that helps the
"payments culture". It proved a great success; a success that the
troika never forgave us for. Now, with this MoU, the troika is seeking its
revenge, making the Greek government commit to never acting against its
edicts.]
As
a prior action, the authorities will adopt legislation to: a)
on garnishments, eliminate the 25 percent ceiling on wages and pensions and
lower all thresholds of €1,500 while ensuring in all cases reasonable living
conditions [i.e. The tax office is no longer prevented from confiscating wages
and pensions of those in tax arrears (the limit was previously 25% of wages and
pensions). Similarly, the tax office will not longer have to leave at least
1500 euros in the account of a taxpayer in arrears whose savings have been
confiscated. They can leave him or her with, say, 200 euros. The
"reasonable living conditions" will be decided by the tax official
according to whims that this MoU does not specify.]; b) amend the 2014-15
tax and SSC debt instalment
schemes to exclude those who fail to pay current obligations [i.e. amend out
100-instalments legislation - see above - so that those who started making
payments will be asked to pay the whole due sum if they cannot meet their fresh
tax bill. That is, the new hardships that will befall taxpayers as a result of
the drop in economic activity engineered by the troika to humiliate PM Tsipras
will annul the taxpayers' opportunity to pay back previous arrears gradually],
to introduce a requirement for the tax and social security administrations to
shorten the duration for those with the capacity to pay earlier, and to
introduce market-based interest rates [reflecting the Greek banking system's
credit crunch] while providing targeted protection for vulnerable debtors (with
debts below €5,000); c) amend the basic instalment scheme/TPC to adjust the market-based
interest rates and suspend until end-2017 third-party verification and bank
guarantee requirements; d) accelerate procurement of software for VAT network
analysis and for further automation of the debt collection, embracing inter
alia fully automatized garnishment procedures; e) adopt immediately legislation
to transfer, by end October 2015 all tax- and customs-related capacities and
duties and all tax- and customs-related staff in SDOE and other entities to the
revenue administration; all non-assessed audits reports made by SDOE since law 4321/2015
will be considered as
detailed fact sheets to the tax administration. [This is a hugely important and
depressingly toxic directive, on which I shall be dedicating a special article.
SDOE has been doing a splendid job at creating an algorithmic method for
comparing money flows within the Greek banking system with tax returns for the
last 20 years. The "revenue administration" within the Finance
Ministry is autonomous if the Ministry and too close for comfort both with the
oligarchs and the troika. Disbanding SDOE, before it completes this remarkable
tax evasion fighting project (that has the potential of discovering billions of
evaded taxes), would be worse than a crime - it would be a pity. And yet this is
precisely what the troika is doing.]
The
authorities commit to taking immediate enforcement action regarding debtors who
fail to pay their instalments or current obligations on time. The authorities
will not introduce new instalment or other amnesty or settlement schemes nor
amend existing schemes, such as by extending deadlines. [The troika's loathing
of our 100-instalment scheme is bubbling up everywhere in this MoU. They could
not stand that we legislated it without their consent.]
Furthermore,
the authorities, making use of technical assistance, will:
i. enhance compliance. The government will by October 2015: a) adopt a fully-fledged plan to increase tax
compliance; b) develop with the Bank of Greece and the private sector a costed
plan for the promotion and facilitation of the use of electronic payments and
the reduction in the use of cash with implementation starting by March 2016.;
c) publish the list of
debtors for tax and social security debt overdue for more than three months.
ii. fighting
tax evasion. The
authorities will by November 2015 produce a
comprehensive plan for combating tax evasion based on an effective
interagency cooperation which includes: a) identification of undeclared
deposits by checking bank transactions in banking institutions in
Greece or abroad; b) introduction of a voluntary disclosure program
with appropriate sanctions, incentives and verification procedures,
consistent with international best practice, and without any amnesty
provisions; c) request from EU member states to provide data on
asset ownership and acquisition by Greek citizens, and how the data
will be exploited; d) renew the request for technical assistance in tax
administration and make full use of the resource in capacity building;
e) establish a wealth registry to improve monitoring; f) adopt
legislative measures for locating storage tanks (fixed or mobile) to
combat fuel smuggling; g) create a database to monitor the balance
sheets of parent-subsidiary companies to improve risk analysis criteria
for transfer pricing; [All good and fair, except that it holds little water in
view of the - see above - determination to subsume SDOE into the
public revenue administration. A case of great pronouncements
against tax evasion after having "defanged" the only part of the
Finance Ministry (SDOE) that is fully committed to do something about
comprehensive plan for combating tax evasion based on an effective
interagency cooperation which includes: a) identification of undeclared
deposits by checking bank transactions in banking institutions in
Greece or abroad; b) introduction of a voluntary disclosure program
with appropriate sanctions, incentives and verification procedures,
consistent with international best practice, and without any amnesty
provisions; c) request from EU member states to provide data on
asset ownership and acquisition by Greek citizens, and how the data
will be exploited; d) renew the request for technical assistance in tax
administration and make full use of the resource in capacity building;
e) establish a wealth registry to improve monitoring; f) adopt
legislative measures for locating storage tanks (fixed or mobile) to
combat fuel smuggling; g) create a database to monitor the balance
sheets of parent-subsidiary companies to improve risk analysis criteria
for transfer pricing; [All good and fair, except that it holds little water in
view of the - see above - determination to subsume SDOE into the
public revenue administration. A case of great pronouncements
against tax evasion after having "defanged" the only part of the
Finance Ministry (SDOE) that is fully committed to do something about
it.]
iii. prioritise
action on collectable taxes. By September 2015, the
authorities will sign the Ministerial Decision allowing for the extension
of the indirect bank account register to provide 10 years of transaction
history. By October 2015, the authorities will reduce - taking account
technical assistance - restrictions on conducting audits of tax returns
subject to the external tax certificate scheme. By November 2015, the
authorities will adopt measures to prioritise tax audits on the basis of
risk analysis and not, as is now the case, year of seniority (i.e. year of
write-off). [Nb. This will necessitate a 'get out of jail' card for those
who let the statute of limitations take effect in tax audits in order to
pursue cases suggested by risk analysis. Moreover, a lot of backlog is
created by the insistence of public prosecutors to command agents of
the Ministry of Finance's general accounts office or the revenue
administration to pursue cases that go through the public prosecutors'
desks irrespective of importance or culpability. Unless this matter is
resolved civil servants will be the slaves of the judiciary.]
authorities will sign the Ministerial Decision allowing for the extension
of the indirect bank account register to provide 10 years of transaction
history. By October 2015, the authorities will reduce - taking account
technical assistance - restrictions on conducting audits of tax returns
subject to the external tax certificate scheme. By November 2015, the
authorities will adopt measures to prioritise tax audits on the basis of
risk analysis and not, as is now the case, year of seniority (i.e. year of
write-off). [Nb. This will necessitate a 'get out of jail' card for those
who let the statute of limitations take effect in tax audits in order to
pursue cases suggested by risk analysis. Moreover, a lot of backlog is
created by the insistence of public prosecutors to command agents of
the Ministry of Finance's general accounts office or the revenue
administration to pursue cases that go through the public prosecutors'
desks irrespective of importance or culpability. Unless this matter is
resolved civil servants will be the slaves of the judiciary.]
iv. improve
collection tools. To improve
collection of tax debt the
authorities will by October 2015 (key deliverable): a) improve the
rules on write-off of uncollectible tax; b) remove tax officers' personal liabilities for not pursuing old debt, and c) propose, and implement in 2016, a national collection strategy including further automation of debt collection, and by November d) take necessary measures towards the timely collection of fines on vehicles uninsured or not undertaking mandatory technical controls, and of levies for the unlicensed use of frequencies; e) issue legislation to quarantine uncollectable Social security contribution debt; and f) improve the rules on write-off of uncollectible Social security contribution debt, and g) enforce if legally possible upfront payment collection in tax disputes. [There is a danger here that the presumption of innocence is sidelined and that 'capture' gets an unwelcome boost.]
authorities will by October 2015 (key deliverable): a) improve the
rules on write-off of uncollectible tax; b) remove tax officers' personal liabilities for not pursuing old debt, and c) propose, and implement in 2016, a national collection strategy including further automation of debt collection, and by November d) take necessary measures towards the timely collection of fines on vehicles uninsured or not undertaking mandatory technical controls, and of levies for the unlicensed use of frequencies; e) issue legislation to quarantine uncollectable Social security contribution debt; and f) improve the rules on write-off of uncollectible Social security contribution debt, and g) enforce if legally possible upfront payment collection in tax disputes. [There is a danger here that the presumption of innocence is sidelined and that 'capture' gets an unwelcome boost.]
v. To
improve collection of Social security debt by September 2015 the
authorities will: a) provide KEAO with access to indirect bank account
registry and to tax administration data; b) create a single SSC debt
database that will encompass all social security funds. The authorities
will implement by end-December 2016 a central registry of
contributors in coordination with the pension funds consolidation and
complete the integration of social security contribution collection with
the tax administration by the end of 2017.
authorities will: a) provide KEAO with access to indirect bank account
registry and to tax administration data; b) create a single SSC debt
database that will encompass all social security funds. The authorities
will implement by end-December 2016 a central registry of
contributors in coordination with the pension funds consolidation and
complete the integration of social security contribution collection with
the tax administration by the end of 2017.
vi. strengthen
VAT revenues. The
authorities will strengthen VAT
collection and enforcement inter alia through streamlined procedures
and with measures to combat VAT carousel fraud. They will adopt by
October 2015 legislation to a) accelerate de-registration procedures
and limit VAT re-registration to protect VAT revenue; b) adopt the
secondary legislation needed for the significantly strengthening the
reorganization of the VAT enforcement section in order to strengthen
VAT enforcement and combat VAT carousel fraud. The authorities will
submit an application to the EU VAT Committee and prepare an
assessment of the implication of an increase in the VAT threshold to
collection and enforcement inter alia through streamlined procedures
and with measures to combat VAT carousel fraud. They will adopt by
October 2015 legislation to a) accelerate de-registration procedures
and limit VAT re-registration to protect VAT revenue; b) adopt the
secondary legislation needed for the significantly strengthening the
reorganization of the VAT enforcement section in order to strengthen
VAT enforcement and combat VAT carousel fraud. The authorities will
submit an application to the EU VAT Committee and prepare an
assessment of the implication of an increase in the VAT threshold to
€25000;
vii. reinforce
the capacity of the administration. By October 2015, the
authorities will secure the full staffing of KEAO, strengthen control
capacity in IKA and reinforce the Large Debtors Unit, to improve its
capacity on issues of liquidation and tax collection, and - with highly
skilled legal advisers, supported by an international independent
expert firm - for the assessment of debtor viability. By December
2015 the LDU will segment commercial debtors with large public debt
according to viability status. [All good ideas. Where will the funding come from?]
authorities will secure the full staffing of KEAO, strengthen control
capacity in IKA and reinforce the Large Debtors Unit, to improve its
capacity on issues of liquidation and tax collection, and - with highly
skilled legal advisers, supported by an international independent
expert firm - for the assessment of debtor viability. By December
2015 the LDU will segment commercial debtors with large public debt
according to viability status. [All good ideas. Where will the funding come from?]
viii. strengthen the independence of the revenue administration. The authorities will by October 2015 adopt
legislation (key
deliverable) to
establish an autonomous revenue agency, that specifies: a) the agency's legal
form, organization, status, and scope; b) the powers and functions of the CEO
and the independent Board of Governors; c) the relationship to the Minister of
Finance and other government entities; d) the agency's human resource
flexibility and relationship to the civil service; e) budget autonomy, with own
GDFS and a new funding formula to align incentives with revenue collection and
guarantee budget predictability and flexibility; f) reporting to the government
and parliament. The authorities will by December 2015 (key deliverable) appoint the Board of Governors and adopt
priority secondary legislation of the law (key human resource, budget) on the
autonomous revenue administration agency, so that it can be fully operational
by June 2016; [This was, and is, a main battleground against the troika,
including its local branch that spans the gamut of oligarchy. I shall dedicate
a different article to this. Our proposal was that the independent tax and
customs commission should be truly independent of government but also
independent of oligarchic interests. To ensure this we proposed a new authority
under the aegis of, and answerable to, Parliament. The troika is working
feverishly to creating an authority that it controls fully, with a fig leaf of
local checks and balances. See Appendix 2 for my proposal to the troika on how
a truly independent, but accountable to Parliament, tax and customs authority
ought to be structured.]
The
authorities will continue to improve operations as measured by key performance
indicators. Over the medium term the Authorities will continue with reforms
improving tax administration, to be agreed with the institutions and taking
into account recommendations of technical assistance reports conducted by the
EC/IMF.
2.4 Public Financial Management and Public Procurement 2.4.1 Public financial management
The
authorities commit to continue reforms that aim at improving the budget process
and expenditure controls, clearing arrears, and strengthening budget reporting
and cash management.
The authorities will adopt legislation by
October 2015 (key
deliverable) to
upgrade the Organic Budget Law to: a) introduce a framework for independent
agencies; b) phase out ex-ante audits of the Hellenic Court of Auditors and
account officers (ypologos) [Nb. There is an assumption here that Greece's
Constitution can be bypassed; i.e. HCA involvement cannot be sidelined by laws
or decrees.] ; c) give GDFSs exclusive financial service capacity and GAO powers to
oversee public sector finances; and d) phase out fiscal audit offices by
January 2017. The authorities will adopt secondary legislation to define the
transitional arrangements of the OBL reform by end-December 2015, and complete
the reform by end-December 2016. [
The Greek government is committed to making
the Fiscal Council operational before finalizing the MoU. For this to happen,
the government adopted a Ministerial Decision to start the open procedure to
select the members of the board. Following completing the process for the
appointment of the Board Members of the Fiscal Council, the Government will by
September 2015 issue the needed secondary legislation to make the Council fully
operational (including budgeting and staffing) by November 2015. The
Authorities will complete a review with the help of technical assistance from
the EC of the work of the Fiscal Council by December 2016, and adopt
legislation as needed (March 2017). [During the last phase of our negotiations
with the Eurogroup, before our July capitulation, I offered to use the Fiscal
Council as a lever for introducing an effective deficit brake. The idea was to
replace the harsh austerian parametric tax and pension changes demanded by the
troika with more growth friendly measures and to commit to an automated deficit
brake, to be applied by the independent Fiscal Council, if targets were not
met. That proposal was never accepted. It is, therefore, questionable now what
role the Fiscal Council will play. Is the troika intending to use it as the
enactor of a debt brake after having imposed austerity that guarantees failure
in achieving the targets? In this case the Fiscal Council will become an
Eternal Depression Council.] In line with the Fiscal Compact, the Greek
Government shall present the main characteristics of their medium-term public
finance plans to the European Commission and the ECOFIN Council in Spring of
each year and will update its Medium Term Fiscal Strategy before end May of
each year in line with the programme targets. In addition as part of a common
budgetary timeline, Greece shall submit to the European Commission the draft
budget for the following year by 15 October of each year, along with the
independent macro-economic forecast on which they are based. The Government
will design a new government Budget Classification structure and Chart of
Accounts (September 2016) in time for the 2018 budget. [This MoU specifies
quarterly reviews. Adding European semester
procedures
during the program will mean that no one in the Greek government will be doing
any serious work, especially long term planning, except preparing and
participating endless reviews!]
The
authorities will present by September 2015 a plan to complete the clearance of
arrears, tax refund and pension claims, and immediately start implementation.
[We never lacked a plan to do this. It was the money we lacked!] The
authorities will then clear the outstanding stock of spending arrears of 7.5
billion by end-December 2016 after completing a thorough audit by end-January 2016,
and clear the backlog of
unprocessed tax refund and pension claims by end-December 2016; The Government
will ensure that budgeted social security contributions are transferred from
social security funds to health funds and hospitals so as to clear the stock of
health-related arrears.
The
Government will present by November 2015 a medium-term action plan to meet the
requirements of the Late Payment Directive, including concrete measures and
safeguards to ensure the transfer of IKA liabilities (cash transfers and
expenditures) to EOPYY during the relevant period. By January 2016,
the authorities will
complete an external audit of EOPYY's accounts payables, and rationalize the
payment process in the social security and health system by end-June 2016 (key deliverable).The authorities will continue to improve
operations as measured by key performance indicators.
To improve the fragmented cash management
system, the Government will include all central government entities in the
treasury single account by end-December 2015. Following the implementation of a cash
management reform the Authorities will close accordingly general government
accounts in commercial banks and consolidate them in the Treasury single
account. As a prior
action, the
ministry of finance will ring-fence the account for the management of EU
structural funds instruments and of Greece's national contributions. [Nb. This
sounds reasonable. The reality of it, however, is quite different. The General
Accounts Office of the Ministry of Finance will have zero breathing space if
this requirement is imposed. On a technical note, most of CG entities are
already in the TSA.]
2.4.2 Public procurement
Greece
needs to take further action in the area of public procurement to increase
efficiency and transparency of the Greek public procurement system, prevent
misconduct, and ensure more accountability and control. [This is the mother of
all understatements. Procurement is one of a triad of sins and its lucrative
nature can be inspected by driving around Athens' northern suburbs. The troika
has never, in the past five years, tackled this festering wound. Will they now?
If they do they will have to turn against the oligarchs whose media have been
spreading the troika's propaganda over the five months of our intense
negotiations. If they troika turns against them, to fulfil these promises and
pledges, it will be the most remarkable turn around in the history of political
economics. But don't hold your breath dear reader!] By September 2015 the
authorities will agree with the European Commission, which will assist on
implementation, an action plan to spell out the details of the actions below (key deliverable).
• By January 2016, a consolidated,
comprehensive and simplified legislative framework (primary and secondary
legislation) on public procurement and concessions, including the transposition
of the new EU directives on public procurement and concessions (2014/23,
2014/24, 2014/25) will
enter into force.
• By December 2016, the reform of the system of
non-judicial/administrative remedies will enter into force. The authorities
will present a detailed proposal for this reform to the Commission by October
2015.
• By February 2017, the authorities will adopt
measures to improve the judicial remedies system. In preparation, the
authorities will perform by September 2016 in cooperation with the Commission a
comprehensive assessment of the effectiveness of the existing judicial remedies
system, identifying problems (e.g. lack of effective and rapid remedies,
delays, difficulty of obtaining damages, litigation costs).
• The authorities will continue to implement
the action plan on e-procurement as agreed with the Commission.
• By May 2016, a new central purchasing scheme,
established in cooperation with the Commission and the OECD will enter into
force, to be applied for the needs of 2017.
The
authorities will ensure that the SPPA remains the principal institution in the
area of public procurement in Greece; the SPPA will cooperate with other Greek
institutions and the Commission to prepare by March 2016 a national strategy,
identify systemic deficiencies of the national public procurement system, and
propose realistic solutions to be implemented by the authorities through an
action plan.
2.5 Sustainable social welfare 2.5.1 Pensions
The 2010 and 2012 pension reforms, if fully implemented, would substantially improve the
longer-term sustainability of the overall pension system. [i.e. both main and
secondary pensions will be cut in the context of "sustainability".
Note that pension funds were haircut savagely in 2012, when Greek government
bonds (GGBs) were haircut, and unlike the ECB that refused to have its GGBs haircut
or bankers who were haircut but also recapitalised. In addition, the fall in
employment and the rise in undeclared labour made led to the situation where if
the troika insists that the pension funds become self sufficient, the pension
cuts necessary will be so large that aggregate demand in Greece will fall again
so much that employment will suffer further thus hitting again the pension
funds. Put simply, the troika's pension fund sustainability can only be
achieved in the context of this MoU is pensions tend to zero...] However the
pension system is still fragmented and costly and requires significant annual
transfers from the State budget. Hence much more ambitious steps are required
to address the underlying structural challenges, as well as the additional
strains on the system caused by the economic crisis. Contributions have fallen
due to high levels of unemployment at the same time as spending pressures
mounted as many people opted to retire early. [Nb. It must be noted that, in
addition to the increase in undeclared labour and the 12 billion euros haircut suffered by pension
funds under the 2012 PSI, the recession took another toll on pension funds courtesy of so
much "labour market flexibility" that the median wage fell by 30%.
Naturally, the pension system is now unsustainable and in dire need of
overhaul. However, such overhaul must be done over a long horizon as the
economy and the labour market recover and not as an accounting exercise that
adjusts outlays to current contributions.]
To
address these challenges, the authorities commit to implement fully the
existing reforms and will also proceed with further reforms to strengthen
long-term sustainability targeting savings of around % of GDP in 2015
and around 1% of GDP by
2016. The package inter
alia aims to create
strong disincentives for early retirement through increasing early retirement
penalties and by the gradual elimination of the grandfathering of rights to
retire before the statutory retirement age.
The
authorities have already increased health contributions of pensioners to 6% on
their main pensions and applied health contributions of 6% also to
supplementary pensions from 1 July 2015; will integrate into ETEA by 1st September
2015 all supplementary pension funds and ensure that all supplementary pension
funds will be only financed by own contributions from
1
January 2015; will freeze monthly guaranteed contributory pension limits in
nominal terms until 2021; and ensured that people retiring after 30 June 2015
will have access to the basic, guaranteed contributory, and means-tested
pensions only at the attainment of the statutory normal retirement age of
currently 67 years. [So, in a country where pensioners spend a large chunk of their
pension on health care, given the parlous state of the national health system,
their pensions will be cut and their health contributions will rise...]
i. As
a prior action, the authorities will: a) clarify the rules
for eligibility
for the minimum guaranteed pensions after 67 years [Nb. The rule
should be clear: Set the minimum at the relative poverty threshold as
defined by ELSTAT]. State explicitly that exemptions common to all
civilized nations regarding retirement age will be honoured.; b) issue
all circulars to ensure the implementation of the 2010 law; c) correct
law 4334/2015 to among others correctly apply the freeze on monthly
guaranteed benefits (instead of contributions state subsidy) and to
extend to the public sector; d) repeal the amendments to the pension
system introduced in Laws 4325/2015 and 4331/2015 in agreement
with the institutions; and e) eliminate gradually the grandfathering to
statutory retirement age and early retirement pathways, progressively
adapting to the limit of statutory retirement age of 67 years at the
latest by 2022, or to the age of 62 and 40 years of contributions,
applicable for all those retiring (except arduous professions and
mothers with children with disability) with immediate application.
for the minimum guaranteed pensions after 67 years [Nb. The rule
should be clear: Set the minimum at the relative poverty threshold as
defined by ELSTAT]. State explicitly that exemptions common to all
civilized nations regarding retirement age will be honoured.; b) issue
all circulars to ensure the implementation of the 2010 law; c) correct
law 4334/2015 to among others correctly apply the freeze on monthly
guaranteed benefits (instead of contributions state subsidy) and to
extend to the public sector; d) repeal the amendments to the pension
system introduced in Laws 4325/2015 and 4331/2015 in agreement
with the institutions; and e) eliminate gradually the grandfathering to
statutory retirement age and early retirement pathways, progressively
adapting to the limit of statutory retirement age of 67 years at the
latest by 2022, or to the age of 62 and 40 years of contributions,
applicable for all those retiring (except arduous professions and
mothers with children with disability) with immediate application.
ii. The
authorities will by October 2015 (key deliverable) legislate
further reforms to take effect from 1 January 2016: a) specific design
and parametric improvements to establish a closer link between
contributions and benefits [i.e. cut pensions!]; b) broaden and
modernize the contribution and pension base for all self-employed,
including by switching from notional to actual income, subject to
minimum required contribution rules; c) revise and rationalize all
different systems of basic, guaranteed contributory and means tested
pension components, taking into account the incentives to work and
contribute; d) the main elements of a comprehensive consolidation of
social security funds, including the remaining harmonization of
contribution and benefit payment procedures across all funds; e)
phase out within three years state financed exemptions and
harmonise contributions rules for all pension funds with the structure
of contributions of the main social security fund for employees (IKA) ;
further reforms to take effect from 1 January 2016: a) specific design
and parametric improvements to establish a closer link between
contributions and benefits [i.e. cut pensions!]; b) broaden and
modernize the contribution and pension base for all self-employed,
including by switching from notional to actual income, subject to
minimum required contribution rules; c) revise and rationalize all
different systems of basic, guaranteed contributory and means tested
pension components, taking into account the incentives to work and
contribute; d) the main elements of a comprehensive consolidation of
social security funds, including the remaining harmonization of
contribution and benefit payment procedures across all funds; e)
phase out within three years state financed exemptions and
harmonise contributions rules for all pension funds with the structure
of contributions of the main social security fund for employees (IKA) ;
f)
the abolition from 31 October 2015 of all nuisance charges financing pensions
to be offset by reducing benefits or increasing contributions in specific funds
[This will be fun to watch: Will the so-called aggeliosimo, a tax on
advertisers that goes into the journalists' pension fund, be abolished? Media
owners will kick and scream if this happens as they will, suddenly, need to
contribute to their employees' pension fund. This is one to watch. Want to bet
that this particular nuisance tax will stay"]; g) gradually harmonize
pension benefit rules of the agricultural fund (OGA) with the rest of the
pension system in a pro rata manner [i.e. the poorest of farmers will be hit
also with a reduction in their already tiny old age pension]; h) that early
retirements will incur a penalty, for those affected by the extension of the
retirement age period, equivalent to 10 percent on top of the current annual
penalty of 6 percent [There would be nothing wring with this, and indeed I had
recommended this too, if early retirements were not a substitute for the
absence of social security for unemployable workers between the ages of 58 and
67.]; i) better targeting social pensions by increasing OGA uninsured pension;
j) the gradual phasing out the solidarity grant (EKAS) for all pensioners by
end-December 2019, starting with the top 20% of beneficiaries in March 2016 [This is
noteworthy for its callousness. EKAS is a small contribution to pensioners on
extremely low pensions, well below the poverty level. To phase EKAS out,
without any serious provision for its replacement, is an attack on decency.];
k) restore the sustainability factor of the 2012 reform or find mutually
agreeable alternative measures in the pension system [i.e. come up with a
miraculous new source of money or just cut pensions]; i) the Greek government
will identify and legislate by October 2015 equivalent measures to fully
compensate the impact of the implementation of the Court ruling on the pension
measures of 2012 [i.e. the Court decided that various pension reductions since
2012 were unconstitutional, as they violated given obligations of the state to
its citizens. This MoU commits the Greek government to find some way to violate
the spirit of the Court's decision].
iii. The Government will by December 2015
(key deliverable) integrate all social security funds under a
single entity, abolish all existing governance and management arrangements,
establish a new board and management team utilizing IKA infrastructure and
organization, implement a central registry of contributors and establish common
services, as well as adopting a program to create a common pool of funds that
will be fully operational by end-December 2016.
The authorities will move
towards the integration of social security contribution filing, payment and
collection into the tax administration by the end of 2017. [That's all good.
Carried over from our proposals of March 2015.]
The
institutions are prepared to take into account other parametric structural
measures within the pension system of equivalent effect to replace some of the
measures mentioned above, taking into account their impact on growth, and
provided that such measures are presented to the institutions during the design
phase and are sufficiently concrete and quantifiable, and in the absence of
this the default option is what is specified above. [i.e. If the Greek
government does not want to amputate pensioners' arms, the troika will consider
the proposal of the Greek authorities that their arms should be spared and
instead have their legs amputated. Black humour. But accurate in the way it
conveys this paragraph's meaning ...]
2.5.2 Health care
The
authorities have committed to continue reforming the health care sector,
controlling public expenditure, managing prices of pharmaceuticals, improve
hospital management, increase centralized procurement of hospital supplies,
manage demand for pharmaceuticals and health care through evidence-based
e-prescription protocols, commission private sector health care providers in a
cost effective manner, modernize IT systems, developing a new electronic
referral system for primary and secondary care that allows to formulate care
pathways for patients. [Brilliant. Except that not a single euro have been
budgeted for any of this!]
The authorities as prior action committed to reinstate previous key elements
of reforms to the health system. In particular, they will a) amend Law 4332/2015
repealing part of Law 4052/2012
(reorganisation and
restructuring of the health sector under the MoU) on the appointment of
hospital CEOs; b) repeal MD FEK 1117/2015, in order to re-enforce sanctions and
penalties as a follow-up to the assessment and reporting of misconduct and
conflict of interest in prescription behaviour and non-compliance with the EOF
prescription guidelines (re-establish prior MoU commitment); c) re-establish
full INN prescription, including by repealing circular 26225/08.04.2015,
with the exceptions as set
out in art 6.4 to 6.6 of the MD FEK 3057/2012; d) reduce the price of all off-patent drugs
to 50 percent and all generics to 32.5 percent of the patent price [Nb.
Greece's indigenous pharmaceutical industry may be targeted here, to the
benefit of multinationals that pay next to no tax],
by repealing the grandfathering clause [Nb.
This a loaded, neoliberal, sexist term, that should be read as "acquired
rights"; rights that are inscribed in the Greek Constitution, the European
Court of Human Rights.] for medicines already in the market in 2012; e)
establish claw backs for 2015 for diagnostics and private clinics and delink
the 2014 claw back for private clinics from the 2013
one.
By
September 2015 extend the 2015 claw back ceilings for diagnostics, private clinics and pharmaceuticals
to the next three years, and, by October 2015, the authorities will (a) apply outstanding
claws backs until H1-2015 for pharmaceuticals, diagnostics and private clinics
will be collected; (b) publish a price bulletin to reduce pharmaceutical prices
and publish it every six months; and c) review and limit the prices of
diagnostic tests to bring structural spending in line with claw back targets (key deliverables). They will execute the claw backs every six
months. By October 2015, the authorities will decide whether to re-establish a
means-tested 5 Euro fee for hospital visits or to adopt equivalent measures in
fiscal and demand management terms [i.e. start charging again the hated 5 euro
fee, for hospital surgeries visited almost exclusively by the poor, that SYRIZA
was committed to abolishing or find another way of collecting it from the
poor].
By
December 2015, the authorities will take further structural measures (key deliverable) as needed to ensure that spending for 2016 is
in line with the claw back ceilings, including developing new protocols for the
most expensive pharmaceutical active substances and diagnostics procedures.
Authorities will further reduce generic prices including by making greater use
of price-volume agreements where necessary. [Again, let me convey the concern
of Greek pharmaceutical companies that this is aimed at them, given that they
lack the transfer price capacities of the multinationals.] Over the next three
years, they will develop additional prescription guidelines giving priority to
those with the greatest cost and therapeutic implications. Ambitious but
feasible timelines will need to be set by the Authorities.
By
December 2015 (and by December 2016, respectively), the authorities will take
concrete steps to increase the proportion of centralized procurement to 60 percent (and to 80 percent), the share of outpatient generic
medicines by volume to 40 (and to 60 percent), inpatient generic medicines to
50 (and to 60 percent) and the share of procurement by hospitals of
pharmaceutical products by active substance to 2/3
(and to %) of the total, in line with agreed targets.
Generic penetration should be supported by further actions to improve the
incentive structure of pharmacists, including on profit structure, by August
2016.
The
authorities will introduce new drugs into the positive list on the basis of
criteria set in MD 2912/B/30.10.2012 and related regulation, subject to
prescription guidelines, and with prices set at the level of the lowest three
in the EU or lower if the authorities can negotiate a rebate. By December 2017
the Authorities will set-up
an HTA centre that will inform the inclusion of medicines in the positive list.
To
improve financial management of hospitals, the authorities will by December 2015
(key deliverable) deliver a plan to adopt DRG or other
international standard activity-based costing methodology to hospitals within
the next three years; by December 2017 they will implement the new DRG or
alternative activity-based costing system; by June 2016 they will deliver a
plan to conduct annual independent financial audits of hospital accounts, with
implementation to begin in 2017, and for all hospitals to be covered by 2018.
To this end, they will make
use of the available Technical Assistance support.
To
assess the performance of health care providers, both public and private, EOPYY
will continue to collect and publish relevant data on a monthly/quarterly
basis. By June 2016, the authorities will develop an assessment of public
sector capacity by region and by specialty and will use this to review the need
for commissioning private providers per region; and they will develop a new
electronic record for patients. By August 2016 they will develop a new system
of electronic referrals to secondary care based on e-prescription and the
electronic record and allowing the monitoring of waiting times. By June 2017,
the authorities will develop a plan to pre-approve referrals to private sector
providers based on the electronic patient record, the system of electronic
referrals and the mapping of public sector capacity. Over the next three years,
the authorities will develop therapeutic protocols for the patient care
pathways (primary and secondary care) for the pathways that have the greatest
therapeutic and cost implications, to be implemented through the e-prescription
system.
The
authorities will closely monitor and fully implement universal coverage of
health care and inform citizens of their rights in that regard and they will
proceed with the roll out of the new Primary Health Care system and the issuing
of an MD as envisaged in Law 4238 by December 2015.
To this end, they will make
use of the available Technical Assistance support. [If only technical
assistance could replace the complete lack of funding necessary to enact
"universal coverage".]
2.5.3 Social safety nets
The
economic crisis has had an unprecedented impact on social welfare. The most
pressing priority for the government is to provide immediate support to the
most vulnerable to help alleviate the impact of the renewed downturn. Already,
a package of measures on food, housing and access to health care has been
adopted and is being implemented [against the troika's direct order not to
introduce such assistance!]. In order to get people back to work, the
authorities, working closely with European partners, have taken measures to
boost employment by providing short-term work opportunities to 50.000 people
targeting the long-term unemployed. [Once more, where will the funding come
from? Answer: From cutting benefits elsewhere in the government's budget - since no new monies are available for work
experience schemes.]
The
Government will adopt by March 2016 a further series of guaranteed employment
support schemes covering 150,000 persons, including the long term unemployed (29+),
young people (16-29),
and disadvantaged groups
(including inter alia GMI beneficiaries) with individualised active labour
market measures for participants, using local partnerships, involving the
private and social economy sectors and ensuring efficient and effective use of
the resources available. [Again: No new monies are involved. The troika's pet
projects, e.g. GMI, will be funded by depriving other welfare and job support
programs of their funding.]
A
fairer society will require that Greece improves the design of its welfare
system, so that there is a genuine social safety net which targets scarce
resources at those in most need. [A fairer society will not, however, emerge if
the new plans are un-funded, however brilliant and fair they may be!] The
authorities plan to benefit from available technical assistance for the social
welfare review and for the GMI implementation from international organisations.
[Once more, if all this "assistance" came with funding for more than
just the foreign 'experts', decent outcomes might have resulted years ago!]
i. The government commits
as a prior action to agree the terms of reference and launch a
comprehensive Social Welfare Review, including both cash and in-kind benefits,
tax benefits, social security and other social benefits, across the general
government, with the assistance of the World Bank, with first operational
results to be completed by December 2015, targeted to generate savings of
% percent of GDP
annually which will serve as the basis for the redesign of a targeted welfare
system, including the fiscally-neutral gradual national roll-out of the GMI.
The overall design of the GMI will also be agreed with the institutions. [Where
is the funding folks?]
ii. The
Authorities by September 2015 will set out their detailed
preparations for a gradual nationwide roll-out [it will be so gradual, due
to the lack of funding, that no one will ever notice!] of a Guaranteed
Minimum Income (GMI) scheme from 1 April 2016, including for the
set up of a benefits registry and a strategy to ensure the inclusion of
vulnerable groups and to avoid fraud. Close linkages with
municipalities and employment services will be established.
preparations for a gradual nationwide roll-out [it will be so gradual, due
to the lack of funding, that no one will ever notice!] of a Guaranteed
Minimum Income (GMI) scheme from 1 April 2016, including for the
set up of a benefits registry and a strategy to ensure the inclusion of
vulnerable groups and to avoid fraud. Close linkages with
municipalities and employment services will be established.
iii. By
January 2016, the authorities will propose and legislate reforms to
welfare benefits and decide on the benefit rates of the initial GMI
rollout in agreement with the institutions. [Message to poor Greeks:
Do not count your blessings. There is no money for this rollout, unless
other poor families are deprived of their benefits.] The design of the
GMI will be closely based upon the parameters of the pilot schemes
after the evaluation of the World Bank, with potential additional
targeting of priority needs in the short-term in order to meet budgetary
constraints. [Splendid, splendid. Sounds like a great opportunity for
World Bank and Technical Assistance personnel to improve their CVs
with no appreciable effect on Greece's poor.]
welfare benefits and decide on the benefit rates of the initial GMI
rollout in agreement with the institutions. [Message to poor Greeks:
Do not count your blessings. There is no money for this rollout, unless
other poor families are deprived of their benefits.] The design of the
GMI will be closely based upon the parameters of the pilot schemes
after the evaluation of the World Bank, with potential additional
targeting of priority needs in the short-term in order to meet budgetary
constraints. [Splendid, splendid. Sounds like a great opportunity for
World Bank and Technical Assistance personnel to improve their CVs
with no appreciable effect on Greece's poor.]
iv. By
September 2016, the authorities will establish an institutional
benefits framework to manage, monitor and control the GMI and other
benefits. [What benefits? A interesting assumption is embedded in this
paragraph, namely that GMI will be funded.] An evaluation of the
performance of the GMI scheme will take place, with the objective of a
full national rollout (key deliverable) by the end 2016. [Immediately
afterward pigs will perform aerial somersaults over the Acropolis.]
benefits framework to manage, monitor and control the GMI and other
benefits. [What benefits? A interesting assumption is embedded in this
paragraph, namely that GMI will be funded.] An evaluation of the
performance of the GMI scheme will take place, with the objective of a
full national rollout (key deliverable) by the end 2016. [Immediately
afterward pigs will perform aerial somersaults over the Acropolis.]
3. Safeguarding
financial stability
All
necessary policy actions will be taken to safeguard financial stability and
strengthen the viability of the banking system. [Bankers expect another big wad
of money from Europe's taxpayers with no strings attached!] No unilateral
fiscal or other policy actions will be taken by the authorities, which would
undermine the liquidity, solvency or future viability of the banks. [Taxpayers
expect no control over the bankers who will be receiving your money. Any
attempt by the Greek government to hold bankers accountable has already been
labelled "unilateral actions" and banned!] All measures, legislative
or otherwise, taken during the programme period, which may have an impact on
banks' operations, solvency, liquidity, asset quality etc. should be taken in
close consultation with the EC/ECB/IMF and where relevant the ESM. [Here we go
again: The Greek government commits not to legislate on anything without the
creditors' express permission. Sovereignty suspended as long as the nation is
in debt bondage. Simple enough.]
By
end-August 2015, the authorities will finalise a comprehensive strategy for the
financial system which has deteriorated markedly since end-2014. [This is a
beauty: The troika that began the bank run, in association with New Democracy
and PASOK to impede SYRIZA's rise to power, and which later on suffocated the
state and closed down the banks, with detrimental effect on their
capitalisation, are now implying that it was the SYRIZA government that caused
the "deterioration". Victor's history, again.] The main focus of the
strategy will be on restoring financial stability and improving bank viability
by: (i) normalising liquidity and payment conditions and strengthening bank
capital [i.e. mend the damage the troika caused in its bid to suffocate our government];
(ii) enhancing governance [by giving bankers more power!]; and (iii) addressing
NPLs [only without the creation of an essential bad bank!]. This strategy will
build on the strategy document from 2013 [which was the basis for the recapitalisation
of Greece's banks, at a cost to the taxpayer of 40 billion, which failed to do
anything about NPLs, the result being zero credit flows into potentially
profitable businesses], taking into account the changed context and conditions
of the financial system, will include plans regarding the foreign subsidiaries
of the Greek banks according to their updated restructuring plans as being
approved by the European Commission, and will aim to attract international
strategic investment to the banks and return them to private ownership in the
medium term [i.e. hand over the banks shares, currently owned by the state, to
private speculators at a fraction of the price the taxpayers paid].
Restoring liquidity and
capital in the banking system
The
authorities are committed to preserving sufficient liquidity in the banking
system [i.e. reversing the liquidity squeeze with which the ECB suffocated our
government, implementing the very European coup which led to PM Tsipras'
capitulation on 12th July.] in compliance with Eurosystem rules and
to achieving a sustainable bank funding model for the medium term. In this
context, banks will be required to submit quarterly funding plans to the Bank
of Greece (BoG) so as to ensure continuous monitoring and assessment of
liquidity needs. The authorities will monitor and manage the process for the
easing of capital controls taking account of liquidity conditions in the
banking system while aiming to minimise the macroeconomic impact of the
controls. [Troika-speak for: We messed up already stressed banks to get you to
surrender and now we will take our time to recapitalise them with your money
but ensure that we, the troika, controls the process fully.]
A
buffer of up to €25bn is envisaged under the Programme to address potential
bank recapitalisation needs of viable banks and resolution costs of non-viable
banks, in full compliance with EU competition and state aid rules. Following a
forward-looking assessment of the four core banks' capital needs by the ECB and
the submission of capital plans by the banks, any remaining identified capital
shortfalls will be addressed fully by end-2015 at the latest. The Bank of
Greece will assess the capital needs of other banks. The recapitalisation
framework will be developed with a view to preserving private management of
recapitalised banks and to facilitating private strategic investments. The law
relating to government guarantees on deferred tax assets will be amended to
minimise programme funding and limit the link between the banks and the state.
[Prior to January 2015, the troika had earmarked 10.9 billion for further bank recapitalisations
and kept it in the so-called HFSF waiting to uae it. In June 214 the IMF had
estimated that the banks required up to another 20 billion, but the ECB and the
Commission slammed the IMF down because it was politically problematic to admit
that more than double was necessary to recapitalise them compared to the sum
available at the HFSF. Once Syriza was in power and the troika triggered the
bank run to overthrow our government, or to subdue it, the ECB began saying
that more capital would be necessary, blaming it on the Syriza government. Now,
with our government defeated, they admit that the banks need 25 billion, but blame this 'hike' totally on our
audacity to want to challenge the troika for 5 months. Victor's history, once again.]
Resolution of
Non-Performing Loans (NPLs)
While
short-term actions to address the problem of high and rising NPL ratios will be
specified below in this document, additional measures and actions may be needed
in the future so as to resolve the NPLs of the banking sector. By end August
2015, the Bank of Greece will issue all necessary provisions to implement the
Code of Conduct, after improvements in agreement with the institutions.
As
a prior action, the authorities will: a) develop a credible
strategy for addressing the issue of non-performing loans that aims to minimize
implementation time and the use of capital resources, and draws on the
expertise of external consultant(s) for both strategy development and
implementation; b) adopt the following short-term reforms: (i) amendments to
the corporate insolvency law to cover all commercial debtors, bring the law in
line with international best practice including changes to promote effective
rehabilitation of viable debtors and a more efficient liquidation process for
non-viable debtors and reducing the discharge period to 3 years for entrepreneurs in line with the 2014
EC Recommendation [that is,
instead of creating a bad bank, the emphasis will be on massive liquidation of
businesses]; (ii) amendments to the household insolvency law [i.e. foreclosures
and auctions will be the instrument with which to reclaim some of the NPLs in
an economy lacking.... buyers. Social deprivation and the conflict is a
guaranteed repercussion] to introduce a time-bound stay on enforcement in line
with cross country experience; establish a stricter screening process to deter
strategic defaulters from filing under the law, include public creditor claims
in the scope of the law providing eligible debtors with a fresh start, tighten
the eligibility criteria for protection of the primary residence [that is,
reduce the protections on primary residences], and introduce measures to
address the large backlog of cases [i.e. speed up the process of evicting
families and liquidating businesses] (e.g. increasing the number of judges and
judicial staff, more frequent hearings, prioritization of high value cases, and
short-form procedures for debtors with no assets and no income), (iii) improve
the judicial framework for corporate and household insolvency matters by
adopting appropriate legal instruments to establish specialized chambers both
for household and corporate insolvency cases [i.e. find ways of denying weaker
parties the right to be represented at court or the right to appeal]; (iv)
adopt legislation to establish a regulated profession of insolvency
administrators, not restricted to any specific profession and in line with good
cross-country experience [i.e. enlist in the liquidation process accountants
and privateers who will fast track liquidation and foreclosures]; (v) adopt
provisions to re-activate of the Government Council of Private Debt,
establishing of a Special Secretariat to support it.
By
end-October 2015, (key
deliverables), drawing
on the expertise of an external consultant, the Bank of Greece will deliver a
report on segmentation of NPLs on banks' balance sheets and an assessment of
banks' capacity to deal with each NPL segment. The HFSF in cooperation with BoG
will provide an analysis to identify non-regulatory constraints and impediments
(e.g. administrative, economic, legal etc.) to the development of a dynamic NPL
market. [Nb. By restricting this to the HFSF and the Bank of Greece, the
Ministry of Finance is sidelined - and Parliament loses any oversight in what
will prove a major political issue over the next few years.] By the same date,
a working group, drawing on independent expertise and cross-country experience,
will examine and recommend specific actions to accelerate NPL resolution,
including by removing any unnecessary legal or other impediments to NPL
servicing and disposal while protecting vulnerable households consistent with
the Code of Conduct established by the Bank of Greece [i.e. protection for the
weak will fall in the purview of unelected Bank of Greece operatives,
unaccountable to Parliament]. The authorities will establish by law a Debt
Information network and Debt Information Centre, providing legal and economic
debt advising [e.g. advice of the sort: "your home will be foreclosed
upon, here are telephone numbers of various homeless shelters that you can
try!]
By end-November 2015 (key deliverable), the Government will strengthen the
institutional framework to facilitate NPL resolution, including (i) appointing
and training an adequate number of additional judges (based on targeted
caseload) and judicial staff for both corporate and household insolvency cases;
(ii) commencing implementation of the law establishing the insolvency
administrator profession (by enabling effective accreditation as well as
supervision and monitoring of insolvency administrators, and a fee structure
that incentivizes sustainable rehabilitations of viable firms and rapid
liquidation of non-viable firms) [i.e. while this MoU's macroeconomic impact
will bring on massive new insolvencies, it has the audacity to claim that
stressed firms will be rehabilitated by means of a fee structure that
"incentivises" the new bailiff profession, with vulture funds
hovering overhead.]; (iii) establishing of a Credit and Wealth Bureau as an
Independent Authority that will identify lenders payment capabilities for the
facilitation of banking institutions, (iv) amending the out-of-court workout
law so as to encourage debtors to participate while ensuring fairness among
private and public creditors; (v) fully operationalising the specialist
chambers for corporate insolvency within courts. The Government will establish
a permanent social safety net [with non-existent funds, since the
recapitalisation kitty of 25 billion will not spare a penny for this
safety net], including support measures for the most vulnerable debtors and
differentiating between strategic defaulters and good-faith debtors. The HFSF
in consultation with BoG will identify mechanisms and processes to accelerate
NPL resolution [again leaving the Ministry of Finance out of the picture, and
using only troika-controlled institutions, such as the BoG and HFSF]. The HFSF
will nominate an executive board member and an internal team dedicated to the
new objective of facilitating banks' NPL resolution. The Bank of Greece will
engage a single special liquidator to ensure individual
liquidators
are delivering effectively against operational targets. Performance based
remuneration scheme will be introduced for all special liquidators in consultation with HFSF to maximise recovery.
[Performance-based remuneration? How is 'performance' determined? Greater
remuneration the more homes or businesses they help liquidate?]
By
December 2015 (key deliverable) the authorities will introduce coordination mechanisms to deal with
debtors with large public and private debts [i.e. those who have fled the
country some time ago and whose ill gotten capital is safely resting in
Switzerland, London or Frankfurt] firstly by segmenting commercial debtors with
large public debts according to viability status and secondly by adopting
legislation to facilitate fast-track liquidation of unviable entities by
end-March 2016 and completion of the clean-up process by end-December 2016.
By
end-February 2016 (key
deliverable), upon
receiving banks' proposals, the Bank of Greece will agree with banks on NPL
resolution operational targets including for example loan restructuring,
creation of joint ventures and banks will report quarterly from June 2016 to
the BoG against key performance indicators. The HFSF will also apply NPL
resolution performance criteria to banks' management against operational
targets agreed between banks and the Bank of Greece. The HFSF will present and
implement an NPL resolution action plan to enhance coordination among banks and
accelerate the restructurings of the large corporates, and if needed jointly
tackle entire economic sectors. [i.e. the absence of a public asset management
company, a bad bank, will ensure that the banks are left in complete control of
a publically funded process that they have an interest to skew in their
interest and against the interests of the social economy at large.]
By
end-March 2016, BoG will revise the Code of Conduct for debt restructuring
guidelines to deal with groups of borrowers (e.g.: SMEs) on the basis of clear
criteria to segment retail portfolios and introduce in coordination with the
HFSF fast-track mechanisms including standardized assessment templates,
restructuring contracts, and workout solutions.
By
end-June 2016, the authorities commit to assess the effectiveness of the
insolvency legal and institutional framework and introduce any necessary
amendments [if any homes or businesses are left standing by then to be protected
by the "necessary amendments". ].
Governance of the HFSF
The
independence of the HFSF will be fully respected and its governance structure
reinforced, with a view to preventing any political interference in its
management or activities. [Troika-speak for: The troika will control the HFSF
even more tightly than before and ensure that Greek elected representatives
have no capacity to influence the HFSF. One example of what is meant is that
the Minister of Finance will no longer have the capacity to do as I did a few
months ago: decide to cut the exorbitant wages of HFSF management. The troika
retains the right to reward richly its blue eyed boys and girls at the HFSF,
using funds extracted from the suffering Greek taxpayers, while at the same
time insisting on harsh austerity for everyone else. A splendid example of the
colonial nature of this MoU.]
By
mid-October 2015 (key
deliverable), the
HFSF law will be amended so as to (i) bring the law into line with the BRRD
transposition and the new recapitalization framework to be developed (ii) to
reinforce the HFSF's governance arrangements in line with the Euro Summit
statement especially by changing the selection and appointment process , in
particular, (a) a new procedure for the selection and appointment of members in
the Executive Board and General Council will be designed by end September 2015
which will imply a greater role for the Institutions than in the past [They are
not even trying to hide it: A greater role for the troika than in the past! Which
means that the already severely circumscribed role for Greece's elected
officials will disappear altogether]; (b) a Selection Panel will be set up,
composed of six independent [of the Greek government but selected by the
troika] expert members, of which three appointed by the EU institutions -
including the chairman with a casting vote in the event of a tie - , and three
appointed by the authorities (two by the Ministry of Finance and one by the
Bank of Greece). The Ministry of Finance, the Bank of Greece, the European
Commission, the ECB and the ESM will each have an observer to the Selection
Panel [The Greek government will have an. observer! How large of the troika to
allow us to observe!]. The Selection Panel will be assisted by an international
recruitment consultant selected by the Panel (c) the Minister of Finance will
nominate from the candidates shortlisted by the Panel (d) the Panel will also
define the remunerations and other conditions of employment including
evaluation and dismissal process. The Law will also ensure that (i)
remuneration and other conditions of employment are competitive so to attract
high-quality international candidates for HFSF management positions [i.e. to
ensure that their chosen people get paid obscenely high salaries in the context
of a shrinking, suffering, recession-hit population] (ii) to include powers,
criteria and procedures for the HFSF to review and change - if needed - the boards and committees of banks under its
control [i.e. the troika takes full control of banks without paying a euro
toward their recapitalisation - to be funded through direct increases in
Greece's public debt]; and (iii) to increase transparency and accountability of
the HFSF through annual publication of strategies and semi-annual reporting of
performance against key objectives (iv) include, among the HFSF objectives, the
facilitation of banks' NPL management.
By
end-March 2016, to increase HFSF transparency and accountability, they will publish an
operational strategy annually and report on performance against this strategy
semi-annually starting from June 2016.
Governance
of banks
The
Government will not intervene in the management, decision-making and commercial
operations of banks, which will continue to operate strictly in accordance with
market principles. [i.e. The troika will run them, in cahoots with the bankrupt
bankers, using resources provided by the permanently 'generous' Greek taxpayer
who will get no powers to control what the bankers are up to - even when their
activities jeopardise the taxpayers' livelihood; e.g. foreclosures,
liquidation.] The board members and senior management of the banks will be
appointed without any interference by the Government [and under the direct
control of the troika plus the bankrupt bankers]. These appointments will be
made in line with EU legislation and best international practices, taking into
account the specific rules in the HFSF law as regards the rights of the private
shareholders who participated in the banks' capital increases under the existing
framework [i.e. privateers who contributed a small percentage of new capital
get all the power while the taxpayers that gave the bulk of the fresh capital
get no power at all]. The HFSF ensures through the amended Relationship
Framework Agreements that as of the financial year of 2016 the external
auditors' contracts with the banks can be to a maximum of five consecutive
years. [i.e. The big five usual suspects will take turns to audit the four
systemic banks. It is as if 2008 never happened!]
By
end-February 2016 (key
deliverable), the
HFSF with the help of independent international consultant will introduce a
program to review the boards of the banks in which the RFAs apply. This review
will be in line with prudent international practices by applying criteria that
go beyond supervisory fit and proper requirements. By end-June 2016, following
the review by the HFSF of the board members along the process described
above,
members may be replaced in a manner that ensures banks' boards include at least
three independent international experts with adequate knowledge and long-term
experience in relevant banking and no affiliation over the previous ten years
with Greek financial institutions; these experts will also chair all board
committees. [This would be a welcome development if it were not for the fact
that these "independent experts" will be appointed by the bankers
themselves, together with their HFSF associated.]
By
October 2015, the need for any measures, in addition to those indicated above,
will be explored to ensure that bank governance is sufficiently strengthened to
be fully independent and in line with international best practice. [Nb.
"strengthened governance" and "fully independent" mean one
thing in troika-speak: No say for the Greek government and no accountability to
Greece's Parliament.]
4. Structural policies to enhance competitiveness and growth 4.1 Labour market and
human capital
In
recent years, major changes have been made to Greek labour market institutions
and wage bargaining systems to make the labour market more flexible. [Of
course, the Greek labour market can hardly be made more flexible. Half a
million Greeks have not been paid for 6 months, another 800 thousand work on
zero hour contracts, an unspecified but very large number work on paper part
time, for 300 euros, but in reality put in 40 hours of work per week for no
extra money, let alone the undeclared labour that has dessimated the tax take
and the pension funds. The last thing the Greek labour market needs is more...
flexibility.] The Greek authorities are committed to achieve EU best practice
across labour market institutions [French or Latvian?] and to foster
constructive dialogue amongst social partners. The approach not only needs to
balance flexibility and fairness for employees and employers, but also needs to
consider the very high level of unemployment and the need to pursue sustainable
and inclusive growth and social justice [something that requires the kind of
collective bargaining the troika has been kicking and screaming against]. The
government has committed as a prior action to
reverse the legislation of the after-effect of agreements legislated in art 72 of 4331/2015 of 2 July 2015. [i.e. the government has capitulated on the
one, small move it made toward restoring a modicum of labour market fairness.]
Review
of labour market institutions. The Government will launch by October 2015 a consultation process led by
a group of independent experts to review
35
a
number of existing labour market frameworks, including collective dismissal
[i.e. the troika is relentless in its pursuit of the right of bankers to fire overnight
large numbers of employees], industrial action [which the troika wants
effectively banned] and collective bargaining [which the troika has struggled
to keep of the statutes once the previous government abolished it], taking into
account best practices internationally and in Europe [again: France or
Latvia?]. Further input to the consultation process described above will be
provided by international organisations, including the ILO. The organization,
terms of reference and timelines shall be agreed with the institutions [Aha!
So, the troika is the final decision maker on labour market legislation - just in case there was any doubt!]. Following
the conclusion of the review process, the authorities will bring the collective
dismissal and industrial action frameworks and collective bargaining in line
with best practice in the EU [France or Latvia? Can someone answer this simple
question?]. No changes to the current collective bargaining framework will be
made before the review has been completed [i.e. the Greek government commits to
ditch its firm commitment to return to workers the right to bargain
collectively]. Changes to labour market policies should not involve a return to
past policy settings which are not compatible with the goals of promoting sustainable
and inclusive growth. [i.e. French trades unions beware: Policy settings that
allow for worker protection along the lines of collectively bargained contracts
are deemed inconsistent with growth. If this is accepted in the case of Greece,
against all evidence (since it is clear that the demise of collective
bargaining has worsened employment and growth prospects), there will be spill
over effects in other member-states, France in particular.]
Undeclared
work. By December 2015,
the authorities will adopt an integrated action plan (key deliverable) to fight undeclared and under-declared work
in order to strengthen the competitiveness of legal companies and protect
workers as well as raise tax and social security revenues. This will include
improved governance of the labour inspectorate and specify technical
assistance. As a first step, the authorities will link the tax, ERGANI and
social security fund reporting framework to detect undeclared work. [Can't wait
to see this action plan! Given that the labour inspectorate has, and will
acquire, no new resources, it is hard to see how undeclared labour will be
diminished without collective bargaining and in an economic environment further
weakened by the new tax increases]
Vocational
training. Furthermore,
consistent with the 2016 budget and to deliver the modernisation and expansion
of vocational education and training (VET), and on the basis of the reform
adopted in 2013 (Law 4186/2013), the
Government
will by December 2015 (key
deliverable): (i)
legislate a modern quality framework for VET/Apprenticeships, (ii) set up a
system to identify skills needs and a process for upgrading programs and
accreditation, (iii) launch pilots of partnerships with regional authorities
and employers in 201516 and (iv) provide an integrated implementation plan
from the Ministry of Labour, the Ministry of Education, and OAED to provide the
required number of apprenticeships for all vocational education (EPAS and IEK)
students by 2016 and at least 33% of all technical secondary education (EPAL)
students by 2016-2017; (v) ensure a closer involvement of employers and a
greater use of private financing. Regional public-private partnerships will be
run during the academic year 2015-16. [Straight out of the manifesta of
neoliberal training programs, which train workers for non-existent jobs in
order to take them off the unemployment register for a few months.]
Capacity
building. Over
the medium term, the capacity of the Ministry of Labour will be strengthened in
terms of policy formulation, implementation and monitoring in order to increase
the its ability to deliver welfare reforms, active labour market policies, and
achieve the front-loading of the Structural Funds. This will include improving
the public employment services through the completion of the re-engineering of
OAED. Existing labour laws will be streamlined and rationalised through the
codification into a Labour law Code by end 2016 (key deliverable). [A touching belief in the capacity of a
"strengthened" bureaucracy to make amends for a broken labour market
in the midst of a debt-deflationary cycle...]
Technical
assistance. for
the effective implementation of the reform agenda, including labour market
reform, VET and capacity building of the Ministry of Labour, the authorities
will use technical assistance, benefiting inter alia from expertise of international organisations
such as the OECD and the ILO. [More technical assistance in the absence of
essential funding. ]
Education.
The authorities will ensure
further modernization of the education sector in line with the best EU
practices, and this will feed the planned wider Growth Strategy. The
authorities with the OECD and independent experts will by April 2016 prepare an
update of the OECD's 2011 assessment of the Greek education system. This review
will cover all levels of education, including linkages between research and
education and the collaboration between universities, research institutions and
businesses to enhance innovation and entrepreneurship (see also section 4.2).
Inter alia, the review will assess the implementation of
the 'new school' reform, the scope for further rationalisation (of classes,
schools and universities), functioning and the governance of higher education
institutions, the efficiency and autonomy of public educational units, and the
evaluation and transparency at all levels. The review shall propose
recommendations in line with best practices in OECD countries. [Without a
single fresh euro spent on education, of course.]
Based
on the recommendations of the review, the authorities will prepare an updated
Education Action Plan and present proposals for actions no later than May 2016
to be adopted by July 2016, and where possible measures should enter into force
in time for 2016/2017 academic year. In particular, the authorities commit to align the number
of teaching hours per staff member [i.e. make demoralized, underpaid teachers
teach longer hours], and the ratios of students per class and pupils per
teacher to the best practices of OECD countries to be achieved at the latest by
June 2018. The evaluation of teachers and school units will be consistent with
the general evaluation system of public administration. The authorities will
ensure a fair treatment of all the education providers, including privately
owned institutions by setting minimum standards [i.e. give privileges to
private schools and shift the burden of education onto parents].
4.2 Product markets and
business environment
More
open markets are essential to create economic opportunities and improve social
fairness, by curtailing rent-seeking and monopolistic behaviour, which has
translated into higher prices and lower living standards. In line with their
growth strategy, the authorities will intensify their efforts to bring key
initiatives and reform proposals to fruition as well as enrich the agenda with
further ambitious reforms that will support the country's return to sustainable
growth, attract investments and create jobs.
The authorities will legislate as prior actions to: i. implement all pending recommendations
of the OECD competition toolkit I, except OTC pharmaceutical products, Sunday
trade, building material and one provision on foodstuff; and a significant
number of the OECD toolkit II recommendations on beverages and petroleum
products; [i.e. the troika insists on the implementation of a OECD 'toolkit'
which the OECD has already denounced. While Minister of Finance, I agreed with
the SG of the OECD, Mr Angel Gurria, to ditch Toolkits 1&2 in favour of a
new reform program that the Greek government and the OECD would design,
implement and monitor together. The troika was livid! They lashed out at the
OECD for daring "interfere" in its attempt to impose ridiculous
product market reforms on Greece. Angel Gurria and I met in Paris to seal our
agreement. But when our government capitulated to the troika, the troika took
their revenge by including in this MoU the OECD toolkits that the OECD has
declared null and void. Why did the troika do this? Is it because they have
reason to believe that toolkits 1&2 are appropriate for Greece? Of course
not. The troika reinstated them to demonstrate who is boss!]
ii. open
the restricted professions of notaries, actuaries, and bailiffs and
liberalize the market for tourist rentals; [Now that bailiffs will have a
field day I suppose it makes sense to 'liberalise' them!]
liberalize the market for tourist rentals; [Now that bailiffs will have a
field day I suppose it makes sense to 'liberalise' them!]
iii. eliminate
non-reciprocal nuisance charges and align the reciprocal
nuisance charges to the services provided; [As mentioned above, let's
see if they abolish the most significant nuisance charge: the
aggeliosimo that benefits media owners hugely, at the expense of
advertisers, as it allows them not to make any contributions to the
journalists' pension fund. Something tells me that this particular
nuisance charge will prove too much of a. nuisance to abolish!]
nuisance charges to the services provided; [As mentioned above, let's
see if they abolish the most significant nuisance charge: the
aggeliosimo that benefits media owners hugely, at the expense of
advertisers, as it allows them not to make any contributions to the
journalists' pension fund. Something tells me that this particular
nuisance charge will prove too much of a. nuisance to abolish!]
iv. reduce
red tape, including on horizontal licensing requirements of
investments and on low-risk activities as recommended by the World
Bank, and administrative burden of companies based on the OECD
recommendations, and establish a committee for the inter-ministerial
preparation of legislation.
investments and on low-risk activities as recommended by the World
Bank, and administrative burden of companies based on the OECD
recommendations, and establish a committee for the inter-ministerial
preparation of legislation.
On competition, the authorities will by October 2015
implement remaining recommendations of the OECD toolkit I on foodstuff and of
the OECD toolkit II [here we go again on the troika's obsession with Toolkits
1&2] on beverages and petroleum products and launch a new OECD competition
assessment in wholesale trade, construction, e-commerce, media and rest of
manufacturing. By June 2016, the Government will adopt legislation to address
all identified issues in such assessment (key deliverable). By December 2015, the authorities will legislate the OECD competition
toolkit I recommendation on OTC pharmaceutical products with effectiveness as
of June 2016 (key
deliverable). By
June 2016, the authorities will fully adopt the pending OECD toolkit 1
recommendation on building material. The authorities will liberalise Sunday
trade following the forthcoming State Council ruling. The authorities commit to
continue with regular competition assessments in additional sectors over the
next three years. The advocacy unit of the Hellenic Competition Commission will
be strengthened by twelve additional posts and a review will be conducted with
the support of the Commission and international expertise to ensure that the
Competition law is in line with EU best practice. [More staff for the
Competition Commission is a good thing. But will they get more powers to tackle
the oligarchs?]
On investment licensing, by September 2015, the Government will adopt
a roadmap for the investment licensing reform, including prioritization. The
authorities will adopt secondary legislation according to this prioritization
by June 2016 (key deliverable), and proceed with other reforms in line with the roadmap.
On administrative burden, by November 2015, the Government will adopt
the pending OECD recommendations on environment and fuel trader licenses. In
addition, by June 2016, the authorities will further reduce administrative burden,
including through one-stop shops for business (key deliverable). By June 2016, the Government will fully
implement the law on better regulation. [Meaning? Regulation that regulates the
small, family owned firms opening up the road, again, for their take over by
chain stores that then corner the market and use transfer pricing to defraud
the tax office, depress wages and push price-cost margins up via oligopolistic
practices write large?]
On competition, investment licensing and
administrative burden the
Government will by October 2015 launch an ex-post impact assessment of selected
reforms and their implementation and identify by June 2016 the remaining
measures needed for their full implementation (key deliverable).
On regulated professions, in order to remove unjustified and
disproportionate restrictions, the Government will submit by October 2015 the
Presidential Decree on reserved activities of civil engineers and related
professions (key
deliverable), and
will adopt the recommendations of an external advisor by December 2015 (key deliverable) and the recommendations of the
inter-ministerial committee, based on other recent reports, by February 2016.
On trade facilitation, the Government will streamline pre-customs
procedures by December 2015. In addition, with the participation of public and
private stakeholders, the authorities will update the trade facilitation action
plan for the national single window and adopt an export promotion action plan
by December 2015 and proceed subsequently with their implementation. The
Government will make institutional changes for post-clearance audits and
restructure the risk analysis department in line with WCO recommendations by
March 2016, and complete the customs reorganisation by September 2016 (key deliverable). On anti-smuggling, the authorities will
establish three mobile enforcement
teams by September
2015, adopt a comprehensive strategy to tackle fuel and
cigarette smuggling based on an effective interagency cooperation by December 2015,
and fully install the
inflow-outflow system in the tax and customs warehouses tanks by June 2016, and
will fully equip with scanners the three main international ports by December
2016, (key deliverable), ensuring that each of these ports has at
least one scanner by March 2016. [These recommendations have been in place
since 2011. They were never implemented because fuel smugglers happen to be
high up in the food chain and because the state could not afford the necessary
equipment. What will change now?]
On land use, by September 2015, the Government will
reconvene the inter-ministerial spatial planning committee, with participation
of the independent experts. Based on its advice and in agreement with the
institutions, the Government will propose in October 2015 a time-bound roadmap
for selected improvements of the spatial planning law, including on parts of
the land use categories, and for the full adoption of secondary legislation by
June 2016 in order to ensure that the legislation effectively facilitates
investment, and streamlines and shortens planning processes while allowing for
the necessary safeguards. If there is no agreement on the necessary changes,
the 2014 spatial planning law will be fully implemented (key deliverable). The authorities will adopt the Presidential
Decree on forestry definitions by December 2015 and fully implement the
forestry law by July 2016. In addition, the authorities will by February 2016
adopt the legal framework for nationwide cadastral offices on the basis of the
business plan, the experience of the two pilot offices and recent technical
assistance advice and ensure adequate financial independence and administrative
capacity of the cadastral agency (key deliverable). [The Green Movement should take note here. While it is true that land
use must be regulated better in Greece, these 'moves' are pregnant with the
danger that forests will be privatised, developed and destroyed. In conjunction
with constant threat of privatising our shores, the measures in this technical
paragraph will require constant vigilance.]
On
the link between education
and research and development, the Greek authorities are committed to launch a comprehensive
consultation process following the review of linkages between education and
R&D (see under Section 4.1 'Education') with a view to implement
recommended best practices. The organization and the timeline for the
consultation shall be drawn up by [October 2015]. [Tokenism, tokenism,
tokenism. Where will the funding for research, let along education, come from?
Our universities are bankrupt and business is living a hand to mouth existence.
Fine, empty words.]
On agriculture, the authorities will adopt a competitiveness
strategy by December 2015.
This
will include: a) the improvements in the EU funds absorption; b) improvements
in the measures aiming at improving the marketing of agricultural products
marketing, including the immediate reform of market permits andto improve
consumer access to farm products, the establishment of a Greek foods initiative
for exports;to promote and manage export distribution networks, and c)
structural reforms introducing a new framework for agricultural co-operatives,
encouraging structural reforms that favour young and active farmers and
introduce a new framework for agricultural cooperatives, greater aggregation
of agricultural exploitation, and a programme to improve resource efficiency
improvements in the use of in energy and use, water resource management and
good agricultural practices financed through EU funds. [All good. Let's wait
and see how any of this will be implemented.]
On structural funds, the authorities will by October 2015
implement in full Law 4314/2014 on European Structural and Investment Funds,
adopt all delegated acts indispensable for the activation of the available
funds and put in place all ex-ante conditionality.
On technical assistance, the authorities intend to launch immediately
a request for support in three critical areas: a competition assessment in
wholesale trade, construction, e-commerce, media and rest of manufacturing with
support of the OECD; the investment licensing reform with support of the World
Bank; and a new round of administrative burden reduction. As a next step, with
support of technical assistance, the authorities intend to assess the
implementation of the reforms in the areas of competition, administrative
burden and investment licensing. Furthermore, in order to ensure an effective
reform implementation, the authorities will use technical assistance in other
areas as needed, including through Commission services, Member State experts,
international organisations, and independent consultants. This includes
regulated professions, trade facilitation, export promotion, land use,
education and R&D, agriculture and structural funds. [There is clearly a
great deal of troika interest to secure jobs for their boys and girls, to send
them to Greece for job experience purposes as technical advisers. May they be
welcome - despite their cost to the Greek
and
European taxpayer - and prove more helpful than their predecessors were over
the past five years.]
4.3. Regulated Network
Industries (Energy, Transport, Water)
Energy
The
Greek energy markets need wide-ranging reforms to bring them in line with EU
legislation and policies, make them more modern and competitive, reduce
monopolistic rents and inefficiencies, promote innovation, favour a wider
adoption of renewables and gas, and ensure the transfer of benefits of all
these changes to consumers.
As prior actions, the authorities will adopt the reform of the
gas market and its specific roadmap, leading inter alia to full eligibility to switch supplier for
all customers by 2018, and notify the reformed capacity payments system (including a temporary
and a permanent mechanism) and NOME products to the European Commission. [i.e.
introduce competition in a thin gas market in which no real competition can be
had, given its size and economies of scale. Still, some business interest will
be helped here, no names mentioned.]
By
September 2015, the authorities will implement the a full scheme for the
temporary and permanent capacity payment system; modify electricity market
rules to avoid that any plant is forced to operate below their variable cost,
and to regulate according to the final decision of the Council of State on the
netting of the arrears between PPC and the market operator; begin
implementation of the gas market reform according to the agreed timeline,
whilst prioritising distribution tariffs; implement interruptible contracts as
approved by the European Commission; revise PPC tariffs based on costs,
including replacement of the 20% discount for energy-intensive users with
tariffs based on marginal generation costs, taking into account consumption
characteristics of customers that affect costs (key deliverable).
In
September 2015, the authorities will discuss with the European Commission the
design of the NOME system of auctions, with the objective of lowering by 25%
the retail and wholesale market shares of PPC, and to bring them below 50% by
2020, while having reserve prices that capture generation costs and being fully
compliant with EU rules. In case it is not possible to reach an agreement on
NOME by the end of October 2015, the authorities will agree with the
institutions structural measures to be immediately adopted leading to the same
results mentioned above in terms
43
of
market shares and timelines (key deliverable). In any case, by 2020 no subject will be able to produce or import,
directly or indirectly, more than 50% of total electricity produced and imported in
Greece (legislation to be adopted as prior action). [i.e.
No planning for turning to green energy, away from Greece's lethal reliance on
lignite. Instead, a touching belief in the powers of competition/privatisation
to succeed in the Greek electricity industry when it failed so spectacularly
everywhere else - see Britain, California etc.]
By
October 2015, the authorities will: a) take irreversible steps (including announcement
of date for submission of binding offers) to privatize the electricity
transmission company, ADMIE, unless an alternative scheme is provided, with
equivalent results in terms of competition and prospects for investment, in
line with the best European practices and agreed with the institutions to
provide full ownership unbundling from PPC (key deliverable). [This is crucial. The Greek government has
opposed privatisation. It has now committed to it, with a fig leaf (behind
which to hide for a few months) that allows it to claim that it is in the
business of finding an alternative to privatisation that delivers the same
'outcome', conditional on the troika's approval that this 'alternative' is as
good as privatisation; an approval that will never come, thus guaranteeing
privatisation.] To this end, the authorities have sent the first proposal to
the institutions in August 2015; b) review energy taxation; c) strengthen the
electricity regulator's financial and operational independence; d) transpose
Directive 27/2012 on energy efficiency adopting the legislation already
submitted to Parliament.
By
December 2015, the authorities will approve a new framework for the support of
renewable energies, while preserving financial sustainability, and for
improving energy efficiency, making best use of EU funds, international
official financing and private funding, and introduce a new plan for the
upgrade of the electricity grids in order to improve performance, enhance
interoperability and reduce costs for consumers. The authorities will start the
implementation of the roadmap for the implementation of the EU target model for
the electricity market, to be completed by December 2017 (key deliverable); in this context, the balancing market will be
completed by June 2017 (key
deliverable). [A
paragraph empty of content, as there is no serious planning for renewables and
the EU funding available is piecemeal and, judging by the past four years of
experience, hopelessly ineffective in the absence of a comprehensive green
energy plan.]
The
authorities will make use of technical assistance for designing the new
framework on renewable energies and energy efficiency. [Excellent! More
technical assistance.] Other important areas where assistance will be used,
both for legislation and for regulation, are the implementation of the gas
market reform and the transition to the EU target model for the electricity
market [whatever that means!].
Water utilities
A stable
regulatory regime is key for allowing much needed investment in the water
networks and to protect consumers in terms of pricing policies. [Greece has
very cheap water utilities. Any tampering with them along the lines of a
neoliberal approach will produce price hikes and offer speculators a new vista
of pleasure that they do not deserve and the country cannot afford. Still, the
troika is determined to bring them in.] The Government will, with assistance
from EU technical assistance [Great!], launch by December 2015
the actions needed to
implement fully the regulatory framework for water utilities based on the
methodology completed by the Special Secretariat of Water in 2014 taking into
account the current legal framework; it will also aim to enhance and strengthen
further the water regulator in order to enable it to take needed independent
regulatory decisions (June 2016, key deliverable).
Transport and logistics
On
transport and logistics, the authorities will by June 2016 adopt a general
transport and logistics master plan for Greece covering all transport modes
(road, railways, maritime, air and multi-modal) and a time-bound action plan
for the logistics strategy, as well as implementing legislation of the
logistics law (key
deliverable). On
maritime transport, by [October 2015], the Government will align the manning
[how about "personnel", instead if "manning"? Sexism rules
OK in the troika corridors] requirements for domestic services with the one for
international lines, while respecting best-practice safe manning principles,
and adopt the legislative changes.
The
Port regulator will become fully operational by June 2016. The Government will
adopt the Presidential Decree setting out the operational structures of the
regulator by [October 2015] (key deliverable). The Government will seek technical assistance to define the tasks of the
port regulator, the role of the port authorities, and to prepare its internal
regulations and needed laws to be adopted by March 2016 in order to ensure its
full functionality. [Greece has had perfectly functioning ports since
antiquity. It is offensive to impose upon the Greek authorities "technical
assistance"
on this matter. But then again, the troika takes pleasure in giving offence to
the Greek authorities. So be it...]
In
support of this reform agenda on network industries, the authorities intend to
use technical assistance as needed, including on the strengthening of
regulators and on logistics. [More technical assistance. Just what the doctor
ordered!]
4.4
Privatisation
Privatisation
can help to make the economy more efficient and to reduce public debt. While
the privatisation process has come to a standstill since the beginning of the
year, the Government has now committed to proceed with an ambitious
privatisation program and to explore all possibilities to reduce the financing
envelope, through an alternative fiscal path or higher privatisation proceeds.
To
preserve the on-going privatisation process [which has proven a major disaster
in every conceivable way - from the prices fetched to the rate at which
the privatisations that occurred were overturned by the European competition
commission and the Greek Council of State] and maintain investor interest in
key tenders, the Hellenic Republic commits to proceed with the on-going
privatisation programme. The Board of Directors of the HRADF has already
approved its Asset Development Plan (ADP) which includes for privatisation
assets under HRDAF as of 31/12/2014. [This puts paid to the widely publicised
view that the government has managed to change the troika's privatisation
agenda. Clearly, the agenda active on 31st December 2014, prior to
our election, has been adopted by this government. Period.]
The
implementation of this programme aims to generate annual proceeds (excluding
bank shares) for 2015, 2016 and 2017 of EUR 1.4bn, EUR 3.7bn and EUR 1.3bn, respectively.
As prior action, and to re-launch the privatisation programme
the Government will adopt these measures:
i. The
authorities will endorse the Asset Development plan approved by
HRADF on 30/7/2015. The ADP is attached to this Memorandum as
annex and constitutes an integral part of this agreement. The ADP will
be updated on a semi-annual basis and approved by HRADF; and the
Cabinet or KYSOIP will endorse the plan.
HRADF on 30/7/2015. The ADP is attached to this Memorandum as
annex and constitutes an integral part of this agreement. The ADP will
be updated on a semi-annual basis and approved by HRADF; and the
Cabinet or KYSOIP will endorse the plan.
ii. The
Government and HRADF will announce binding bid dates for
46
Piraeus
and Thessaloniki ports of no later than end-October 2015, and for TRAINOSE
ROSCO, with no material changes in the terms of the tenders;
iii. The authorities will take irreversible steps
for the sale of the regional
airports at the current terms with the winning bidder already selected;
airports at the current terms with the winning bidder already selected;
iv. The authorities will conclude around 20
selected pending actions
identified.
identified.
[In
other words, the SYRIZA government will eat its words, and criticism of the
previous privatisation (or, more precisely, fire sale) agenda and commit to its
full and immediate implementation. See blow]
The
Government commits to facilitate the privatization process and complete all
needed Government actions to allow tenders to be successfully executed. In this
respect it will complete all actions needed as agreed on a [quarterly] basis
between HRADF, the institutions and the Government. The List of Government
Pending Actions has been approved by the Board of Directors of the Hellenic
Republic Asset Development Fund and is attached to this Memorandum as an Annex
and constitutes an integral part of this agreement.
In
line with the statement of the Euro Summit of 12 July 2015, a new independent
fund (the "Fund") will be established and have in its possession
valuable Greek assets. The overarching objective of the Fund is to manage
valuable Greek assets; and to protect, create and ultimately maximize their
value which it will monetize through privatisations and other means. [This is
important. For it puts Greece's public assets out of the hands of Greece's
elected officials, denying Greek governments any instrument for utilising
public assets in order to generate home-grown investment funding and/or
implementing socio-economic policies outside the neoliberal framework.]
The
Fund would be established in Greece and be managed by the Greek authorities
under the supervision of the relevant European Institutions. [i.e. the troika
has consented to basing the Fund in Athens as long as it maintains full control
of it, precisely as it maintains full control of the HFSF, the Bank of Greece,
the General Secretariat of Publid Revenues and ELSTAT.] The Fund is expected to
fulfill its objective by adhering to international best practices in terms of
governance, oversight and transparency of reporting standards, and compliance.
By October 2015 the authorities shall appoint
an independent Task Force
[i.e.
independent of the government and fully dependent on the troika] to identify
options and prepare recommendations on the operational goals, structure and
governance of the Fund to be created. The Task Force would report by December
2015, and the government, in agreement with the institutions, will take steps
to implement the recommendations by March 2016 (key deliverable). The mandate and composition of the Task Force
would be drawn up by the authorities, in agreement with the European
Institutions and in consultation with the Eurogroup. The authorities may
request technical assistance on this matter. The mandate of the Task Force will
include:
1.
Identifying
the possible assets which could be part of a new Fund and the best options for
their monetization: particular attention would be paid to extracting value from
the real estate assets of the Hellenic Republic including those already held by
ETAD.
2.
Identifying
appropriate governance arrangements of the new Fund, including whether there
should be specific sub-entities for different types of assets within the Fund
drawing upon, where relevant, the experiences of entities such as Hellenic
Republic Asset Development Fund (HRADF) and ETAD; whether such existing
entities would be reformed and maintained separate to the Fund, terminated upon
conclusion of their mandate, or absorbed into the new Fund.
3.
Putting
forward a proposal for the transition to the new Fund to ensure continuity from
the previous arrangements, including the possible transfer of assets within the
Asset Development Plan.
4.
According
to the Euro Summit Statement the monetization of the assets will be one source
to make the scheduled repayment of the new loan of ESM and generate over the
life of the new loan a targeted total of EUR 50bn of which EUR 25bn will be
used or the repayment of the recapitalization of banks and other assets and 50%
of every remaining euro
(i.e. 50% of EUR 25bn) will be used for decreasing the debt to GDP ratio and the
remaining 50% will be used for investments. The Task Force will identify
options and make recommendations on how this will be operationalized.
[This
is tragic. This Fund will never, ever generate 25 billion euros, especially after the current
spates of privatisations are completed and these valuable public assets are
dispensed with in a fire sale. (Even if by some miracle it generates more than
25 billion, the next 12.5 billion will be paid to Greece's creditors. Only
after that will the state get some pennies to invest in growth.) Which means
that the Fund's income will be all used up to repay the new state debt on
behalf of bankers. So, this is what will happen: Take the case of a public
asset that the Fund sells or leases for X euros. These euros will be used to
repay part of the recapitalisation of some bank, say Pireus. In essence, Greek
taxpayers will have liquidated an asset of their for X euros to give to Pireus
bank in exchange for shares that will end up in the HFSF (the Hellenic Financial
Stability Fund). Only these shares have no voting rights, which means that the
private shareholders of Pireus will not see their power over the bank diluted
even by one euro. Additionally, following the troika-imposed
"strengthening of the HFSF's governance", the Greek government has
committed to never changing the legal framework governing the HFSF and, thus,
to never regaining the right to give voting rights to the shares the taxpayers
paid for through the liquidation of the Fund's asset. Lastly, note the complete
loss of national sovereignty involved in this "public asset
monetisation": It will be handled by a Fund and end up in shares owned by
the HFSF both of which (Fund and HFSF) are totally under the thumb of the
troika. Never before has a state been taken over so fully with the consent
of its Parliament!
Could
things be different? See Appendix 1 for the proposal I had put to our European
partners prior to our government's capitulation. See also here for a
relevant article.]
5. Options
for a legislative framework that would be adopted to ensure
transparent procedures and adequate asset sale pricing, according to
OECD principles and standards on the management of State Owned
Enterprises (SOEs) and best international practices. Particular
attention will be paid to maximising the value generation of the Fund's
assets and to avoid circumstances of asset sales below their fair
value. [The 'fair' value to be decided, of course, by troika-led
committees in tune with the interests not of Greece but of its creditors
transparent procedures and adequate asset sale pricing, according to
OECD principles and standards on the management of State Owned
Enterprises (SOEs) and best international practices. Particular
attention will be paid to maximising the value generation of the Fund's
assets and to avoid circumstances of asset sales below their fair
value. [The 'fair' value to be decided, of course, by troika-led
committees in tune with the interests not of Greece but of its creditors
.]
6.
Based
on international best practises, assess possible strategies to be designed and
executed to monetise the assets through privatisation and other means; and
examine options for the professional management of the assets.
7.
Examine
statistical classification of the new entity in terms of general government
classification and in particular the implications for the issuance of debt or
guarantees to ensure that these would not burden gross Greek debt or create
contingent liabilities for Greek taxpayers.
5. A modern State and Public Administration 5.1. Public
administration
The
authorities intend to modernise and significantly strengthen the Greek
administration, and to put in place a programme, in close collaboration with
the European Commission, for capacity-building and de-politicizing the Greek
administration. [Key word: "de-politicising". It is one thing to work
toward taking party politics out of public administration. And quite another to
de-politicise what is a fundamentally political process.
"De-politicisation" is a favourite Brussels' strategy for denying
member-states sovereignty, shifting political power to a Brussels' based
technocracy and thus produce particularly toxic politics.]
To
this extent, building on the letter sent on July 20th by the
authorities to the European Commission, a comprehensive three-year strategy for
reform will be defined by December 2015 (key deliverable) in agreement with the European Commission, and making the best use of
all available technical assistance. [Thank goodness for that!] The main
elements of this strategy will be the reorganisation of administrative
structures; rationalisation of administrative processes; optimisation of human
resources; strengthening transparency and accountability; e-government; and a
communication strategy. Key deliverables will be stronger coordination of
policies, better recruitment processes for managers, HR planning to timely
assess and fulfil the hiring needs; a fiscally-neutral reform of the wage grid,
a modern performance assessment system; strengthening of policy units in key
sectors; a substantial upgrade of the role of local government at both tiers
with a view to reinforcing local autonomy and rationalising the administrative
structures of local authorities; rationalisation of SOEs and locally-owned
enterprises; and modernization of recruitment procedures; improved mobility in
the public sector to promote better use of resources.
As prior actions, the authorities will align non-wage benefits
such as per diems, travel allowances and perks, with best practices in the EU,
effective 1 January 2016. [If it does, it will increase costs substantially in view of the fact
that, currently, state employees are often offered next to no assistance when
they travel from one part of the country to another on official business.] By
September 2015, the authorities will adopt through legislation the
restructuring plan for 'OASA - Transport for Athens' agreed with the institutions
(key deliverable). [OASA, the public transport utility of Athens
has always been a troika target. The troika intensely dislikes the relatively
low fees and the thick network of buses and other means of transport that
50
have
helped Athenians overcome chronic market failures. Breaking it up, privatising,
and generally reducing its accounting cost - at huge social cost -is part of
the planning here.]
By
October 2015, the authorities will reform the unified wage grid, effective 1
January 2016, setting the key parameters in a fiscally neutral manner and
consistent with the agreed wage bill targets and with comprehensive application
across the public sector, including decompressing the wage distribution across
the wage spectrum in connection with the skill, performance, responsibility and
position of staff (key
deliverable); and
align leave arrangements with best practices in the EU. [This is an announcement
that the state's lowest wages will be cut further. This is the only logical
conclusion of the combination of wage "decompression" and fiscal
neutrality.] By 2018 the current "klados" system will be reformed to have a better
articulation of job descriptions that will be reflected in the wage grid. The
authorities will adopt legislation by November 2015 to issue all secondary
legislation to implement the wage grid reform and by June 2016 to rationalise
the specialised wage grids with effect in 2017.
Drawing on international expert advice
coordinated by the European Commission, the authorities will: i) by (October
2015), review and start implementation of legislation for selecting managers (key deliverable). The selection of new managers will be
completed by the end of 2016, with Directors General to be selected by
December 2015 and Directors by May 2016. The reform will base recruitment of managers
on merit and competence, de-linking technical implementation from political
decision, and will also modify the statutes of Secretaries General and other
top-tier levels in public entities, including SOEs, in order to provide for
de-politicization and better institutional memory, while ensuring effectiveness
and appropriate delegation of powers; ii) by November 2015, legislate the new
framework for assessing performance of all employees, to build a
results-oriented culture.
By
October 2015, the authorities will establish, within the new MTFS, ceilings for
the wage bill and the level of public employment consistent with achieving the
fiscal targets and ensuring a declining path of the wage bill relative to GDP
during the period 2016-2019 (key deliverable). [The crudity of it all! This commitment
ensures that fiscal neutrality becomes a holy cow without any consideration of
the impact of hirings on output/results. For example, no account is taken of
the fact that hiring more tax inspectors may boost tax revenues. Or of the
effect of hiring more archaeologists on the the speed of generating
construction licences, and hence state revenue.] To this end, the authorities
commit to continue the attrition rule in 2016 while the ratio for the
years
2017-2019 will
be set in the MTFS adopted in October 2015. For following exercises, the attrition rule
will be subject to annual revision in the context of the MTFS exercise, for the
years following the next (t+2).
By
November 2015, the existing Secretariat General for Coordination will be strengthened
to ensure effective planning and coordination of governmental work, of
legislative initiatives, of monitoring of implementation of reforms, and of
arbitrage functions on all policies.
By
December 2015, the authorities will introduce a new permanent mobility scheme.
[This will restore the hated scheme by which state employees were selected, by
shoddy criteria, for sidelining, with a major pay cut, awaiting their
re-assignment.] The scheme will promote the use of job description and will be
linked with an online database that will include all current vacancies. Final
decision on employee mobility will be taken by each service concerned. This
will rationalize the allocation of resources as well as the staffing across the
General Government.
The
authorities will continue to identify illegal hires and temporary injunctions,
as well as disciplinary cases, and take appropriate enforcement action.
The
authorities will engage, with the help of technical assistance, in a programme
to improve access to law by the citizen. This includes a long term plan of
codification of the main legislations which will be proposed by March 2016
and fully implemented by
June 2018. The programme also includes the creation of an electronic portal giving
access to legislation, both in the form published in the Gazette (FEK form) and
in the consolidated version of the various provisions by December 2016.
5.2 Justice
The
authorities have adopted on 22 July 2015 the new Code of Civil Procedure, which
will become effective as of 1/1/2016. The authorities will implement the revised
Code of Civil Procedure, in accordance with the requirements set out in the
transitional provisions of Article 1 (Ninth Article) of Law 4335/2015
and the roadmap for the
implementation of the revised Code of Civil Procedure to be finalized by
September 2015.
The
authorities will rationalise and introduce a selective increase of court
fees,
as well as increase transparency in this regard (October 2015). The
authorities
will propose measures to ensure access to justice by vulnerable
persons
(December 2015). [Given the wholesale
immiseration of Greek
52
society
this means that either the higher court fees will be waived for most or that
access to justice will be restricted to the few.]
The
authorities will propose measures to reduce the backlog of cases in
administrative courts by [September 2015] and in civil courts by [October
2015]; they will agree on an action plan with European institutions including
technical assistance on e-justice, mediation and judicial statistics (October
2015).
The
authorities will propose by [November 2015] and subsequently implement a three years
strategic plan for the improvement of the functioning of the justice system.
The plan should encompass key actions aimed at enhancing judicial efficiency,
speeding up judicial proceedings and addressing shortcomings in the functioning
of courts such as, but not limited to, collecting information on the situation
of the courts, computerization, developing alternative means for dispute
resolution, such as mediation, rationalizing the cost of litigation and
improving in court functioning and court management.
5.3 Anti-corruption
The
authorities will as a prior
action update and publish a
revised Strategic Plan against corruption; and they will implement it according
to its timeline.
The
authorities will adopt by October 2015 legislation insulating financial crime
and corruption investigations from political intervention in individual cases
in particular by amending the provisions of article 12 of the law 4320/2015
and by setting up a system
to ensure proper coordination, prioritization of investigations and sharing of
information between investigation bodies through a Coordinating Body Chaired by
Finance and Corruption Prosecutors.
The
authorities will amend and implement the legal framework for the declaration of
assets (October 2015) and the financing of the political parties on key
weaknesses such as the composition of the committee common to both legislation,
the anonymous donations, limitation on seizures and transferability of public
financing and absence of definition of tax deductibility rates (November 2015);
the authorities will conduct an assessment of the reduction of penalties for
financial crimes provided by law 4312/2014, and amend it if needed (November
2015); they will adopt a draft code of conduct for members of Parliament (March
2016).
The
Government commits to implementing fully and timely the GRECO recommendations.
The
authorities will continue to pursue technical assistance with the European
Commission SRSS in the fields of anti-corruption where it was already provided.
[Corruption
is rampant in Greece. It comes in two forms. Micro-corruption and
macro-corruption. The former concerns small sums and involves individuated
officials, small business proprietors etc. Macro-corruption centres upon the
Triangle of Sin: Banking, Procurement and the Media. For five years the troika
has not targeted Macro-corruption while the key players involved in
Macro-corruption were cheerleaders of the troika program. Indeed, they have
been central in assisting the troika, from within Greece, to defeat out
government. Only by a miracle will the troika now turn against
Macro-corruption!]
5.4 Statistics
The
Government will fully honour the Commitment on Confidence in Statistics signed
in March 2012 by implementing all envisaged actions, including respecting
international statistical standards; guaranteeing, defending and publicly
promoting the professional independence of ELSTAT; and supporting ELSTAT in
upholding confidence in Greek statistics and defending them against any efforts
to undermine their credibility, as well as reporting annually to the Hellenic
Parliament and to the European Commission.
Government
fully respects the independence of ELSTAT in carrying its tasks and providing
high quality statistics. In this regard it respects the financial independence
of ELSTAT, and provides all the necessary resources in a timely manner, as
approved in the annual budget of ELSTAT, for the agency to complete
uninterrupted its tasks.
The
Government will ensure that by September 2015 ELSTAT has access to
administrative data sources in line with the Law (specify 2014 law) and
Memorandum of Understanding signed on [specify data and protocol] between
ELSTAT, the Ministry of Finance (GSIS), the Secretary General for Public
Revenues and the Ministry of Labour.
The Government as a prior action will launch the process for appointing a
President of ELSTAT in line with law [...].
54
[Note
that nothing is said here about the ownership of the data provided to ELSTAT.
Generic data should be owned by issuing organisations and only provided to
ELSTAT for processing. Tax and expenditure data, in particular, should always
remain the property of the Ministry of Finance, even after the creation of an
independent tax authority. Another crucial, missing point concerns the capacity
of ELSTAT to tighten austerity and influence fiscal policy. For instance, any
amendment of the primary surplus number, as things currently stand, immediately
compel the government, in order to stay within this MoU's terms, to raise taxes
or reduce spending. Control over ELSTAT suddenly becomes control over the
degree of imposed austerity. This is why the troika is ever so keen to retain
full control of the process by which the President and staff of ELSTAT are
appointed. As an example, consider this: During the January to June 2015
negotiations, ELSTAT changed the method by which it computed defence
expenditures, giving the troika the right to demand even higher tax increases.]
APPENDIX 1: How public assets ought to be utilised - Our (shunned by the troika) proposals of May 2015
Homegrown, Investment-led Growth
Greece's
economy needs to be kick-started. While reforms are essential, and long-term
recovery will need to be financed privately, getting the flow of investment
funding going will require an initial boost. It will also require a vehicle for
dealing efficiently with the voluminous non-performing loans that currently
block the credit system.
Central
to the Greek government's thinking is that the nation needs to help itself
before it seeks the help of others. To this effect, Policy 1 below is designed
to make use of Greek public assets as seed-capital that crowds in public and
private investment from abroad:
POLICY
1: LEVERAGING
UP STATE OWNED ASSETS TO FUND INVESTMENT-LED RECOVERY &
GROWTH: The Greek government is determined to break the debt-deflationary cycle
(driven by and leading to greater austerity) while achieving fiscal
sustainability. To do so it will attempt to utilise optimally existing public
assets.
Investment spending is the key to restoring
growth as:
•
It
modernises the industrial and infrastructural base, creating secondary effects
of productivity gains and growth
•
It
closes the output gap and generates demand-driven growth
•
It
crowds in additional investment spending from public and private sources e.g.
the EIB (see Policy 2 below), the Juncker plan, EBRD and the
structural adjustment programs
By
designing an investment program that turns on leveraging existing state owned
assets we has two additional advantages:
•
Greece
demonstrates to its partners its willingness to assume the main burden of the
investment program funding by contributing most of its state owned assets
•
By
focusing the investments into efforts to modernise and restructure the assets
owned by the state, any future privatisation is substantially boosted,
contributing more towards fiscal consolidation.
The
proposed state asset based investment and growth program will involve:
• Bundling of assets
that can be potentially envisaged as non-public into a central holding company
to be separated from the government administration and to be managed as a
private enterprise entity with the goal of maximising the value of its
underlying assets. The Greek state will be the sole shareholder, but will not
guarantee its liabilities or
debt.
•
Assets
will include: ports, airports, land, real estate, energy assets, utilities
assets e.g. water, gas, electricity grid, traffic infrastructure, licenses,
offshore and onshore mining rights (gas, oil, and metals etc.), state owned
companies and all other assets which can potentially be put to private
management. Exceptions from this list would be only those assets relevant for
the country's security, public amenities, and its cultural heritage sites.
•
The
total value of these assets is currently estimated to be in excess of 70 billion euros - taking into account the depressed nature of
all asset prices in Greece due to the ongoing crisis/negotiation.
•
This
holding company will issue a fully collateralised bond on the international
capital markets with a volume of between 30 and 40 billion euros which will be invested into
modernising and restructuring the assets under its management.
• The investment program will run over 3 to 4
years and thus will result in additional spending of 5% of GDP per annum. Under the current
macroeconomic conditions it is expected that the investment program will have a
positive growth multiplier above 1.5. This in turn should boost nominal GDP growth
to a level of above 5% for several years inducing proportional
increases in tax revenues and contributing to fiscal sustainability, while
enabling the Greek government to exercise spending discipline without further
shrinking the social economy. Under such growth prospects, the primary surplus
will achieve 'escape velocity' magnitudes in absolute as well as percentage
terms over time.
•
Within
a year or two, the holding company will be granted a banking license, thus
turning itself into a fully fledged development bank capable of crowding in
private investment to Greece.
The program will have a deeper impact on debt
reduction by boosting privatization returns through a number of levers:
• The asset value should increase by more than
the actual amount spent on modernisation and restructuring. This can best be
achieved by designing the program as a portfolio of public-private partnerships
whose value is boosted according to the probability of future privatisation.
•
The
assets will be privatised later, but in an environment of strong economic
growth which in itself has a large impact on the asset valuation.
•
The
proposed timeline allows for the selection of the appropriate buyer, from the
perspective of transparency and propriety, eliminating the
pressure
to effect a quick sale. Thus future revenues will also be boosted.
Under
fairly general assumptions, simulations demonstrate that, even under adverse
scenario, the combination of investment-led growth plus accrued future private
revenues has the potential to bring Greece's deficit and debt ratios well
within the Maastricht criteria within a short period of time. Thus the program
substantially improves fiscal sustainability and reduces credit risk for our
partners in the Euro group, the IMF and the ECB. Combined with the debt
management proposal in PART C, Policy 1 has the potential to end, once and for all,
Greece's debt crisis.
POLICY
2: SPECIAL
EUROPEAN INVESTMENT BANK (EIB) PROGRAM FOR GREECE: The Greek authorities are already in
discussions with the EIB to spearhead an EIB special investment package for
Greece. The Greek government envisages that the European Council gives the
'green light' to the European Investment Bank to embark upon such a Special Investment Program for Greece that is fully funded by a special issue of
EIB bonds (waiving the requirement of national co-funding), with the ECB
providing secondary market coverage for the latter (in the context of its QE
program) -to be administered by the EIB and the EIF in cooperation with a new
holding company described in Policy 1 above, in collaboration with EFSI, the
Hellenic Investment Fund, the EBRD, KfW and other European investment vehicles,
and in conjunction with new privatisations (e.g. ports, railways) Cost of
Policy 2: No cost to taxpayers or for Greece's
creditors. EIB operates on purely banking criteria and, on this occasion,
stands to benefit from Greece's rapid economic growth and rise in asset prices.
Benefits of Policy 2: The 'announcement effect' of Policy 2 (even before any investment funding is
provided), especially when combined with the other policies, will be to crowd
in substantial investments and, inevitably, to investment-led growth.
Areas
where EIB funding can be channelled profitably, in conjunction with the
homegrown investment funding described in Policy 1 above, include:
•
Specialised
tourism, including tours tied to educational, cultural and agrarian projects
•
Innovative
pharmaceutical industries, taking advantage of Greece's location, EU membership
and human capital
•
Logistics
benefitting from an integrated approach to investment on ports, rail, road and
industrial park developments
•
Green
energy
•
Banking
services for the Balkans, the Near East and the Black Sea
POLICY 3: BANKING ASSET MANAGEMENT VEHICLE: Set up a vehicle to manage efficiently the banking sector's voluminous
non-performing loans. Cost of Policy 3: It will depend on which tranches of the
banks' non-performing loans are swapped with the new vehicle's assets. The
Greek government envisages that the seed capital will be provided from the
HFSF's remaining funds.
Benefits
of Policy 3: First, the state's equity in the banks stands
to appreciate sharply. Secondly, credit will begin to flow again, adding to the
recovery brought about by Policies 1,2 and 4.
APPENDIX 2: Our proposals (April 2015)
for a truly independent,
but accountable to Parliament, tax and customs authority
A
proposal for an independent Hellenic Customs and Taxes Service (HECS)
Purpose:
To create an IRS-like, self-governing Hellenic Customs and Taxes Service (HECS)
to replace the General Secretariat of Public Revenues currently
quasi-autonomous within the Finance Ministry
a.
Current situation: According
to the provisions of law No. 4093/2012, some minimum conditions of autonomy of
GSPR were set in 2012. After that, there were various legislative changes and
functions' transfers as well as delegation of powers from the Minister and the
Deputy Minister of Finance. The main problem with the current structure is that
greater autonomy of GSPR would lead to the indefensible situation where the
Minister has next to no authority over the actions of GSPR but retain political
responsibility over it. To overcome this unacceptable combination of the
Minister's responsibility-sans-authority,
the government is proposing the creation of a fully self-governing and
independent Hellenic Customs and Taxes Service (HECS) answerable directly to
the Hellenic Republic's Parliament.
b.
Proposed measures: The
following administrative structure and procedures are proposed:
The
Permanent Parliamentary Committee responsible for HECS - PPC-HECS
•
Establishment
of a Permanent Parliamentary Committee responsible of HECS - (PPC-HECS) that
makes all decisions on the basis of enhanced majority (e.g. 2/3
of its members)
• PPC-HECS appoints HECS's Board of Governors,
including the Governor General, as well as an Audit Advisory Committee (see
below)
• At an annual open hearing members of PPC-HECS
have an opportunity to interrogate the Governor General on any matter pertinent
to her or his duties and to HECS's overall function.
Board of Governors and Governor General
• After an open and
transparent professional recruitment process, PPC-HECS appoints, by 2/3
majority of its members, the Governor General of HECS who is given
responsibility for appointing another four members of the Board of Governors.
Members of the Board of Governors serve fixed, non-renewable terms.
•
The
Governor General and the Board of Governors are responsible for the
administration of HECS, are answerable to PPC-HECS, report annually to
Parliament and are subject to permanent audits, supervision and advisory
circulars from the Audit Advisory Committee
• HECS's Board of Governors can draw upon Greek
and foreign experts, including representatives of the European Commission and
other member-states that have offered Greece help in revamping its tax
collection mechanism.
• HECS has its stand alone budget as well as a
capacity to retain a portion of tax revenues to be determined by Parliament
following PPC-HESC's recommendations
• The Governor General and members of the Board
of Governors shall be protected by the law for their acts during the exercise
of his competences and be prosecuted in the cases that it is proven they have
act inappropriately. This legislative protection should be similar to that
which currently applies for the protection of Ministers, Board Chairpersons of
Public Law Entities, etc. There will also be a provision for legal aid of the
Board of Governors in case of litigation by taxpayers from actions committed in
the line of Board's duties.
Audit Advisory Committee
•
PPC-HESC
also appoints a three member Audit Advisory Committee (AAC) whose remit is to
subject the HECS's Board of Governors to professional scrutiny and to report
regularly to PPC-HESC regarding propriety and efficiency issues related to the
HECS's functioning
• AAC reports quarterly to PPC-HECS on all
matters relating to the functioning of HECS
• AAC provides advice for the decision making
as well as for monitoring or supervision topics (currently provided by the
central entities of the government), human resources, the implementation of
strategic and operational plans, performance of administration, organizational
changes, and the implementation of the HECS's budget.
• It will monitor and report on the performance
contract of the Governor General, and will submit final reports on her/his
performance at the end of her/his contract.
Personnel
• All personnel are public servants, recruited
and promoted through the normal channels of the Greek public service (e.g.
ASEP, service councils). Special training courses and processes are the
responsibility of the Board of Governors and their appointed committees
• The Board of Governors is responsible for
setting up committees that select personnel from the pool of public sector
employees and place them at their discretion. Personnel no longer required to
serve HECS revert to the broader public sector
• Salaries of employees selected for serving
within the HECS can be topped up at the discretion of the Board of Governors
•
HECS
is offered exemption from selected constraints regarding procurement.
Operational
independence
• HECS shall not be commanded to carry audits
from entities such as Inspector General of Public Administration,
Inspectors-Controllers of Public Administration, Prosecutors, etc. Any requests
for carrying controls shall be addressed to the Board which will deliver an
opinion for the necessity and urgency of actions and depending on the
availability of the existing human resources. In addition, the past cases of
audit orders received by third parties could be reviewed from a risk analysis
perspective in order to assess which cases are of interest and be audited.
• All existing auditing and investigative
services (e.g. SDOE) will be incorporated within HECS.
Ο ΑΡΧΙΠΡΟΔΟΤΗΣ ΑΣ ΠΑΕΙ ΣΤΟ ΣΙΑΤΛ
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